By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted rebounds total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), VJ Edgecombe's posted rebounds line has held net flat at 5.5. WagerBird's modeled fair line for PHI @ CLE is 6.8 (-232).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ IND(Missed 1g) | 5.5 (-105) | — | 7 | Over | |
| NYK @ PHI | 5.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 8 | Over | |
| PHI @ CHA | 6.5 (+120) | +1.0 | 8 | Over | |
| CHI @ PHI | 6.5 (+118) | 0.0 | 3 | Under | |
| PHI @ DET | 5.5 (+100) | -1.0 | 6 | Over | |
| PHI @ CLE | 5.5 (-110) | 0.0 | 3 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 5 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ IND | 5.5 | — | 7 | +1.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs NYK | 5.5 | 0.0 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ CHA | 6.5 | +1.0 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs CHI | 6.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ DET | 5.5 | -1.0 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ CLE | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -2.5 |
Edgecombe's established starting workload gives his perimeter rebounding enough opportunities to reach the required count.
7.0 RPG · 33.5 MPG · 8 STARTS — Edgecombe is averaging 7.0 rebounds across eight starts while playing 33.5 minutes per game. His chance to contribute on the glass comes from occupying those extended shifts, not from needing additional scoring possessions.
35 MIN · 6 REB · 5 FOULS — Edgecombe collected six rebounds in 35 minutes in the latest game despite finishing with five fouls. Staying out of that foul pressure would help preserve the floor time he needs to pursue loose balls and defensive rebounds.
Foul trouble can interrupt his rotation before he accumulates enough chances. Stronger box-outs from the opposing frontcourt or rebounds falling to his own big men can leave him short despite a full shift.
Settlement Rule: CASHES WHEN VJ EDGECOMBE COLLECTS AT LEAST 6 REBOUNDS IN THE FULL GAME; NO PUSH AT 5.5.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Philadelphia 76ers's 5 primary contributors.
| Philadelphia 76ers Contributor | Oct 31 @ CHA | Nov 2 vs CHI | Nov 4 @ DET | Nov 6 @ CLE | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey PHI · Points | 27.5 | 25.5 | 24.5 | 25.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| Joel Embiid PHI · Points | — | 21.5 | 18.5 | 21.5 | +3.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| Jaylen Brown PHI · Points | 23.5 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 20.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| LeBron James PHI · Points | 19.5 | 17.5 | 15.5 | 16.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| VJ Edgecombe PHI · Points | 16.5 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ |
Market Expanding Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bullish
Market Expanding Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bullish
2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled VJ Edgecombe prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | PHI @ CLE | Rebounds | Over 5.5 (-105) · Fanatics | 5.5 | 3 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Nov 4 | PHI @ DET | Rebounds | Over 5.5 (+106) · DraftKings | 5.5 | 6 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Edgecombe's established starting workload gives his perimeter rebounding enough opportunities to reach the required count.
Counter-Case: Foul trouble can interrupt his rotation before he accumulates enough chances. Stronger box-outs from the opposing frontcourt or rebounds falling to his own big men can leave him short despite a full shift.
Edgecombe's sustained starter minutes preserve enough rebounding opportunity even after a conservative reduction from his earlier production rate.
Counter-Case: Embiid, Brown and James can collect the defensive misses before Edgecombe reaches them. A slow game with efficient shooting can leave too few rebound opportunities, and his recent three-rebound outing shows that starter minutes do not guarantee the required total.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |