Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 9 books
- 111.5 (7 consensus books · 9 tracked)
- Market Move
- 111.3 to 111.5 (0.3 pts toward Over)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 12 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (16 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- DET 62.4% · MIA 37.6%
- Consensus Spread
- MIA +4.5
- Consensus Total
- 227.5
- Market-Implied Score
- DET 116 – MIA 111.5
Market Brief: DET @ MIA Home Team Total
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 111.5 -104 / Under 111.5 +104 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:14 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 111.5 -115 at BetMGM; Under 111.5 -110 at BetMGM.
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 111.3 to 111.5 toward Over (0.3 pts) across 10 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET).
What is the DET @ MIA home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 111.5 -104 / Under 111.5 +104 across 7 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:14 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 111.5 -115 at BetMGM; Under 111.5 -110 at BetMGM.
How has the DET @ MIA home team total moved from open to current?
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 111.3 to 111.5 toward Over (0.3 pts) across 10 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for DET @ MIA home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET).
Why is the DET @ MIA Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
DET @ MIA Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus 111.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: DET @ MIA Home Team Total
The Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat Miami Heat team total opened at 111.3 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 111.5 across 10 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.3 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:14 AM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 1:09 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat Miami Heat team total.
Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat Miami Heat team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices Over at 111.5 -104 (50.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 111.5 +104 (49.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 111.5 -115 at BetMGM; Under 111.5 -110 at BetMGM.
In the NBA team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 12 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 3 (16 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/detroit-pistons-at-miami-heat-home-team-total-2026-11-14-35079" title="Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/detroit-pistons-at-miami-heat-home-team-total-2026-11-14-35079">DET @ MIA Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>