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NBA · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Over 116.5 → 117 (+0.5 pts)

Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 8 books
116.5 (4 consensus books · 8 tracked)
Market Move
116.5 to 117 (0.5 pts toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 12 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (16 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
DAL 44.6% · CLE 55.4%
Consensus Spread
CLE -2.5
Consensus Total
231.5
Market-Implied Score
DAL 114.5 – CLE 117

Market Brief: DAL @ CLE Home Team Total

Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 116.5 -107 / Under 116.5 +107 across 4 consensus sportsbooks (8 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:06 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 116.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 116.5 -103 at DraftKings.

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 12:24 AM ET), the line moved from 116.5 to 117 toward Over (0.5 pts) across 8 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

What is the DAL @ CLE home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 116.5 -107 / Under 116.5 +107 across 4 consensus sportsbooks (8 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:06 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 116.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 116.5 -103 at DraftKings.

How has the DAL @ CLE home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 12:24 AM ET), the line moved from 116.5 to 117 toward Over (0.5 pts) across 8 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for DAL @ CLE home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET).

Why is the DAL @ CLE Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 2 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 116.5 -107 (51.6% across 4 books)
Best price: 116.5 -120 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 116.5 +107 (48.4% across 4 books)
Best price: 116.5 -103 at DraftKings

DAL @ CLE Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM116.5-120116.5-105BetMGM
DraftKings116.5-121116.5-103DraftKings
Fanatics116.5-120116.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 8 sportsbooks, consensus 116.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: DAL @ CLE Home Team Total

The Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers Cleveland Cavaliers team total opened at 116.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 12:24 AM ET) and currently sits at 117 across 8 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:06 AM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 1:01 AM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers Cleveland Cavaliers team total.

Across the 8 sportsbooks currently quoting the Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers Cleveland Cavaliers team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 4-book consensus prices Over at 116.5 -107 (51.6% vig-free probability) and Under at 116.5 +107 (48.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 116.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 116.5 -103 at DraftKings.

In the NBA team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 12 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 3 (16 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date121316
Last 30 days121316

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/dallas-mavericks-at-cleveland-cavaliers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-35077" title="Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/dallas-mavericks-at-cleveland-cavaliers-home-team-total-2026-11-14-35077">DAL @ CLE Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>