NBA · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CTMarket Move: Over 224.5 → 226.5 (+2.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the BKN @ ATL total moving?

Name: Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T17:02:36.757Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 11:02 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 3:14 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 46 books: 226.5 (23 consensus books · 46 tracked)
Market Move: 224.5 to 226.5 (2.0 pts toward Over)
Lane CLV record: NBA game totals: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)

Why is the BKN @ ATL total moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 9:03 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 16 tracked sportsbooks.
Sat, Nov 7, 3:14 PM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 12 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 226.5 +101 (49.8% across 23 books)

Best price: 226.5 -105 at Caesars

Under

Vig-free consensus 226.5 -101 (50.2% across 23 books)

Best price: 227.5 -112 at ProphetX

BKN @ ATL Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	226.5-110	226.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	226.5-105	226.5-115	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	226.5-110	226.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	227.5-105	227.5-115	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	226.5-110	226.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	227.5+110	227.5-112	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 46 sportsbooks, consensus 226.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: BKN @ ATL Total

The Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks total opened at 224.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 226.5 across 48 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 9:03 AM CT, 16 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks total.

At Sat, Nov 7, 3:14 PM CT, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks total.

Across the 46 sportsbooks currently quoting the Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 23-book consensus prices Over at 226.5 +101 (49.8% vig-free probability) and Under at 226.5 -101 (50.2% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 226.5 -105 at Caesars; Under 227.5 -112 at ProphetX.

In the NBA game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	2	0	0	2	100.0%
Last 30 days	2	0	0	2	100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/brooklyn-nets-at-atlanta-hawks-total-2026-11-07-34192" title="Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/brooklyn-nets-at-atlanta-hawks-total-2026-11-07-34192">BKN @ ATL Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftBKN @ ATL · Points

BKN @ ATL · Brooklyn Nets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Brooklyn Nets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

BKN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+1.3 Pts Desk Equilibrium (Core-6 Implies 110.8 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
85.0	76.7%	110.8	109.5 (-108)	+1.3

Compare BKN Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 110.5 (O -106)DraftKings 109.5 (O -115)BetMGM 110.5 (O -105)Caesars 109.5 (O -120)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN · Prev 20.5 (+2.0)	22.5	17.8%	20.5%(+2.7% vs Hist)	+1.0		Team Tide Shift
#2 Julius Randle

Brooklyn Nets (BKN)Team Tide Shift

+1.3 Pts Desk Equilibrium (Core-6 Implies 110.8 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Atlanta Hawks (ATL)Team Tide Shift

-19.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 97.0 vs. 116.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Brooklyn Nets team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftBKN @ ATL · Points

BKN @ ATL · Atlanta Hawks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Atlanta Hawks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

ATL Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-19.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 97.0 vs. 116.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 73 Beat / 11 Tied / 36 LostThrough Nov 6 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

BKN @ ATL · BKN · AssistsFree Dossier Release

Nolan Traore · Assists

Pick & Line: Under 4.5
Fair Value: 3.3 (-338)
Book: DraftKings (+140)

Shared backcourt creation leaves Traore with less passing volume than his increased playing time might suggest.

Prop Dossier →Player History

DraftKings: Under 4.5 (-150)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Jalen Johnson ATL · Prev 20.5 (0.0)	20.5	18.0%	17.6%(-0.4% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#2 Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL · Prev 22.5 (-2.0)	20.5	24.7%	17.6%(-7.1% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 CJ McCollum ATL · Prev 17.5 (-4.0)	13.5	10.7%	11.6%(+0.9% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Onyeka Okongwu ATL · Prev 15.5 (-3.0)	12.5	15.9%	10.7%(-5.2% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Dyson Daniels ATL · Prev 12.5 (-2.0)	10.5	7.7%	9.0%(+1.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Luguentz Dort ATL · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	11.7%	7.3%(-4.4% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the BKN @ ATL total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

BKN @ ATL Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: BKN @ ATL Total

NBA Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

BKN @ ATL · Brooklyn Nets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BKN @ ATL · Atlanta Hawks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

Nolan Traore · Assists

BKN @ ATL · Brooklyn Nets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BKN @ ATL · Atlanta Hawks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

Nolan Traore · Assists