Nickeil Alexander-Walker (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Nickeil Alexander-Walker's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 18.5 to 20.5 (+2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE @ ATL | 18.5 (+106) | — | 25 | Over | |
| ATL @ NOP | 19.5 (-115) | +1.0 | 12 | Under | |
| ATL @ IND | 21.5 (-106) | +2.0 | 34 | Over | |
| ATL @ WAS | 21.5 (-114) | 0.0 | 26 | Over | |
| WAS @ ATL | 22.5 (-110) | +1.0 | 28 | Over | |
| BKN @ ATL | 20.5 (+105) | -2.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +6.5 vs. +2.0 book step adjustment (+4.5 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 18.5
- Current Posted Line
- 20.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 25.0
- Actual Output Delta
- +6.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 · vs CLE | 18.5 | — | 25 | +6.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ NOP | 19.5 | +1.0 | 12 | -7.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ IND | 21.5 | +2.0 | 34 | +12.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ WAS | 21.5 | 0.0 | 26 | +4.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs WAS | 22.5 | +1.0 | 28 | +5.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs BKN | 20.5 | -2.0 | — | — |
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |