NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: BKNPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Up (+3.0 over 6 games)

Moritz Wagner (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Moritz Wagner's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 10.5 (+3.0).11.510.59.58.57.56.57.57.59.59.59.510.5Oct 27BKN @ BOSOct 30DET @ BKNNov 1BKN @ INDNov 2BKN @ NYKNov 4CHA @ BKNNov 7BKN @ ATL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Moritz Wagner's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 10.5 (+3.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Moritz Wagner)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
BKN @ BOS(Missed 2g)7.5 (+100)—15Over
DET @ BKN7.5 (-122)0.016Over
BKN @ IND9.5 (-125)+2.014Over
BKN @ NYK9.5 (+100)0.06Under
CHA @ BKN9.5 (-108)0.06Under
BKN @ ATL10.5 (+100)+1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Moritz Wagner Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (+3.0) tracks actual window production (+3.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: +2.0
Window Open Line
7.5
Current Posted Line
10.5
Book Cumulative Step
+3.0
Actual Window Avg
11.4
Actual Output Delta
+3.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Moritz Wagner Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output19415Oct 27@ BOS16Oct 30vs DET14Nov 1@ IND6Nov 2@ NYK6Nov 4vs CHANov 7@ ATL
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · @ BOS7.5—15+7.5
Oct 30 · vs DET7.50.016+8.5
Nov 1 · @ IND9.5+2.014+4.5
Nov 2 · @ NYK9.50.06-3.5
Nov 4 · vs CHA9.50.06-3.5
Nov 7 · @ ATL10.5+1.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Moritz Wagner Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Moritz Wagner.

Moritz Wagner CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Moritz Wagner.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136