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CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Florida State Seminoles @ Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 37 books
FSU +3.5 (36 consensus books · 37 tracked)
Market Move
PITT -3.5 to -3.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (151 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
FSU 40.0% · PITT 60.0%
Consensus Spread
PITT -3.5
Consensus Total
52.5
Market-Implied Score
FSU 24.5 – PITT 28

Market Brief: FSU @ PITT Spread

Florida State Seminoles @ Pittsburgh Panthers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at FSU +3.5 -102 / PITT -3.5 +102 across 36 consensus sportsbooks (37 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:32 PM ET). Best price per side: FSU +3.5 +101 at ProphetX; PITT -3.5 -105 at FanDuel.

The line is unchanged since open (PITT -3.5) across 42 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the FSU @ PITT spread consensus line and best price per side?

Florida State Seminoles @ Pittsburgh Panthers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at FSU +3.5 -102 / PITT -3.5 +102 across 36 consensus sportsbooks (37 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:32 PM ET). Best price per side: FSU +3.5 +101 at ProphetX; PITT -3.5 -105 at FanDuel.

How has the FSU @ PITT spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (PITT -3.5) across 42 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for FSU @ PITT spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the FSU @ PITT spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from FSU +3.5 to FSU +3 across 11 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

FSU
Vig-free consensus +3.5 -102 (50.5% across 36 books)
Best price: +3.5 +101 at ProphetX
PITT
Vig-free consensus -3.5 +102 (49.5% across 36 books)
Best price: -3.5 -105 at FanDuel

FSU @ PITT Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookFSUPITTExecution
BetMGM+3.5-110-3.5-108BetMGM
Caesars+3.5-114-3.5-106Caesars
DraftKings+3.5-112-3.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel+3.5-115-3.5-105FanDuel
Fanatics+3.5-115-3.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX+3.5+101-3.5-105ProphetX

Full market: 37 sportsbooks, consensus FSU +3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: FSU @ PITT Spread

The Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers spread opened at PITT -3.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at PITT -3.5 across 42 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:32 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 12:44 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 3, shifting from FSU +3.5 to FSU +3 toward FSU. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 3 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

Across the 37 sportsbooks currently quoting the Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 36-book consensus prices FSU at +3.5 -102 (50.5% vig-free probability) and PITT at -3.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: FSU +3.5 +101 at ProphetX; PITT -3.5 -105 at FanDuel.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 55 (151 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.7% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date851155151
Last 30 days5643393

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/florida-state-seminoles-at-pittsburgh-panthers-spread-2026-11-13-27474" title="Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/florida-state-seminoles-at-pittsburgh-panthers-spread-2026-11-13-27474">FSU @ PITT Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>