Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 35 books
- MICH +10.5 (22 consensus books · 35 tracked)
- Market Move
- ORE -11 to -10.5 (0.5 pts toward MICH)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (151 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MICH 22.2% · ORE 77.8%
- Consensus Spread
- ORE -10.5
- Consensus Total
- 38.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MICH 14 – ORE 24.5
Market Brief: MICH @ ORE Spread
Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MICH +10.5 -100 / ORE -10.5 +100 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: MICH +11 -118 at BetMGM; ORE -10.5 -106 at ProphetX.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 4:45 PM ET), the line moved from MICH +11 to MICH +10.5 (0.5 pts) across 38 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
What is the MICH @ ORE spread consensus line and best price per side?
Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MICH +10.5 -100 / ORE -10.5 +100 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: MICH +11 -118 at BetMGM; ORE -10.5 -106 at ProphetX.
How has the MICH @ ORE spread moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 4:45 PM ET), the line moved from MICH +11 to MICH +10.5 (0.5 pts) across 38 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MICH @ ORE spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
Why is the MICH @ ORE spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward MICH across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market consensus moved from ORE -10 to ORE -11 across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MICH @ ORE Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 35 sportsbooks, consensus MICH +10.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MICH @ ORE Spread
The Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks spread opened at ORE -11 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 4:45 PM ET) and currently sits at ORE -10.5 across 38 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward MICH. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 11:29 AM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MICH by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks spread.
At Thu, Nov 12, 1:13 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 10, shifting from ORE -10 to ORE -11 toward ORE. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 10 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
Across the 35 sportsbooks currently quoting the Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 22-book consensus prices MICH at +10.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and ORE at -10.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MICH +11 -118 at BetMGM; ORE -10.5 -106 at ProphetX.
In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 55 (151 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.7% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/michigan-wolverines-at-oregon-ducks-spread-2026-11-14-27493" title="Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/michigan-wolverines-at-oregon-ducks-spread-2026-11-14-27493">MICH @ ORE Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>