ENES
CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 21 books
MICH +6.5 (21 consensus books · 21 tracked)
Market Move
ORE -6.5 to -6.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MICH 22.2% · ORE 77.8%
Consensus Spread
ORE -10.5
Consensus Total
38.5
Market-Implied Score
MICH 14 – ORE 24.5

Market Brief: MICH @ ORE 1st Half Spread

Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MICH +6.5 +103 / ORE -6.5 -103 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET). Best price per side: MICH +6.5 -102 at DraftKings; ORE -6.5 -110 at FanDuel.

The line is unchanged since open (ORE -6.5) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the MICH @ ORE 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MICH +6.5 +103 / ORE -6.5 -103 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET). Best price per side: MICH +6.5 -102 at DraftKings; ORE -6.5 -110 at FanDuel.

How has the MICH @ ORE 1st half spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (ORE -6.5) across 21 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MICH @ ORE 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the MICH @ ORE 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward MICH across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MICH
Vig-free consensus +6.5 +103 (49.3% across 21 books)
Best price: +6.5 -102 at DraftKings
ORE
Vig-free consensus -6.5 -103 (50.7% across 21 books)
Best price: -6.5 -110 at FanDuel

MICH @ ORE 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMICHOREExecution
BetMGM+6.5-105-6.5-112BetMGM
Caesars+6.5-104-6.5-120Caesars
DraftKings+6.5-102-6.5-118DraftKings
FanDuel+6.5-110-6.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics+6.5-110-6.5-120Fanatics
ProphetX+6.5-104-6.5-119ProphetX

Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus MICH +6.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MICH @ ORE 1st Half Spread

The Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks first-half spread opened at ORE -6.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:45 PM ET) and currently sits at ORE -6.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:59 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 11:54 AM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MICH by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks first-half spread.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices MICH at +6.5 +103 (49.3% vig-free probability) and ORE at -6.5 -103 (50.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MICH +6.5 -102 at DraftKings; ORE -6.5 -110 at FanDuel.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 9 (32 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/michigan-wolverines-at-oregon-ducks-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27493" title="Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/michigan-wolverines-at-oregon-ducks-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27493">MICH @ ORE 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>