Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Mon, Nov 9, 4:01 PM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 38 books
- 44.5 (34 consensus books · 38 tracked)
- Market Move
- 45.5 to 44.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 97 · At close: 8 · Behind: 46 (151 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- KSU 22.9% · TCU 77.1%
- Consensus Spread
- TCU -10.5
- Consensus Total
- 44.5
- Market-Implied Score
- KSU 17 – TCU 27.5
Market Brief: KSU @ TCU Total
Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 44.5 -101 / Under 44.5 +101 across 34 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 44.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 44.5 -101 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 45.5 to 44.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 42 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the KSU @ TCU total consensus line and best price per side?
Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 44.5 -101 / Under 44.5 +101 across 34 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 44.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 44.5 -101 at ProphetX.
How has the KSU @ TCU total moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 45.5 to 44.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 42 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for KSU @ TCU total?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Why is the KSU @ TCU total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 16 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 8 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
KSU @ TCU Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus 44.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: KSU @ TCU Total
Across 38 tracked sportsbooks, the KSU @ TCU total moved from an opening number of 45.5 to 44.5 toward Under (1.0 pt).
Best current licensed partner quotes: Over 44.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 44.5 -101 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 1.5 pts across the market.
CFB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 67.6% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 46 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 11
Release Record — CFB game totals, last 30 days (Oct 15–Nov 11): 60-47, +27.1u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 68% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/kansas-state-wildcats-at-tcu-horned-frogs-total-2026-11-14-27498" title="Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/kansas-state-wildcats-at-tcu-horned-frogs-total-2026-11-14-27498">KSU @ TCU Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>