ENES
CFB · SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff

Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Sun, Nov 8, 11:16 AM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 39 books
KSU +10.5 (23 consensus books · 39 tracked)
Market Move
TCU -10.5 to -10.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (151 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
KSU 22.9% · TCU 77.1%
Consensus Spread
TCU -10.5
Consensus Total
44.5
Market-Implied Score
KSU 17 – TCU 27.5

Market Brief: KSU @ TCU Spread

Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at KSU +10.5 -100 / TCU -10.5 +100 across 23 consensus sportsbooks (39 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: KSU +10.5 +100 at ProphetX; TCU -10.5 -105 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (TCU -10.5) across 41 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the KSU @ TCU spread consensus line and best price per side?

Kansas State Wildcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Spread: vig-free consensus stands at KSU +10.5 -100 / TCU -10.5 +100 across 23 consensus sportsbooks (39 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: KSU +10.5 +100 at ProphetX; TCU -10.5 -105 at ProphetX.

How has the KSU @ TCU spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (TCU -10.5) across 41 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for KSU @ TCU spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the KSU @ TCU spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from TCU -10 to TCU -10.5 across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus moved from KSU +10.5 to KSU +10 across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward TCU across 10 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

KSU
Vig-free consensus +10.5 -100 (50.1% across 23 books)
Best price: +10.5 +100 at ProphetX
TCU
Vig-free consensus -10.5 +100 (49.9% across 23 books)
Best price: -10.5 -105 at ProphetX

KSU @ TCU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookKSUTCUExecution
BetMGM+10.5-110-10.5-108BetMGM
Caesars+10.5-114-10.5-107Caesars
DraftKings+10.5-112-10.5-108DraftKings
FanDuel+10.5-110-10.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics+10.5-110-10.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX+10.5+100-10.5-105ProphetX

Full market: 39 sportsbooks, consensus KSU +10.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: KSU @ TCU Spread

Across 39 tracked sportsbooks, the KSU @ TCU spread moved from an opening number of TCU -10.5 to TCU -10.5.

Best current licensed partner quotes: KSU +10.5 +100 at ProphetX; TCU -10.5 -105 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 7.5 pts across the market.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.7% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date851155151
Last 30 days5643393

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/kansas-state-wildcats-at-tcu-horned-frogs-spread-2026-11-14-27498" title="Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/kansas-state-wildcats-at-tcu-horned-frogs-spread-2026-11-14-27498">KSU @ TCU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>