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CFB · TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Liberty Flames Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 38 books
53.5 (23 consensus books · 38 tracked)
Market Move
53.5 to 53.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 97 · At close: 8 · Behind: 46 (151 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MTSU 9.0% · LIB 91.0%
Consensus Spread
LIB -21
Consensus Total
53.5
Market-Implied Score
MTSU 16.3 – LIB 37.3

Market Brief: MTSU @ LIB Total

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Liberty Flames Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 53.5 +100 / Under 53.5 -100 across 23 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 53.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 53.5 -104 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (53.5) across 41 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the MTSU @ LIB total consensus line and best price per side?

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Liberty Flames Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 53.5 +100 / Under 53.5 -100 across 23 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 53.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 53.5 -104 at ProphetX.

How has the MTSU @ LIB total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (53.5) across 41 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MTSU @ LIB total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the MTSU @ LIB total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 53.5 +100 (49.9% across 23 books)
Best price: 53.5 -104 at ProphetX
Under
Vig-free consensus 53.5 -100 (50.1% across 23 books)
Best price: 53.5 -104 at ProphetX

MTSU @ LIB Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM53.5-10853.5-110BetMGM
Caesars53.5-10853.5-112Caesars
DraftKings53.5-10853.5-112DraftKings
FanDuel53.5-11053.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics53.5-11053.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX53.5-10453.5-104ProphetX

Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus 53.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MTSU @ LIB Total

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames total opened at 53.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 53.5 across 41 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 1:48 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames total.

Across the 38 sportsbooks currently quoting the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 23-book consensus prices Over at 53.5 +100 (49.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 53.5 -100 (50.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 53.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 53.5 -104 at ProphetX.

In the CFB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 97 · At the close: 8 · Behind close: 46 (151 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 67.6% of moved lines ahead of close (96 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 46 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 11

Release Record — CFB game totals, last 30 days (Oct 15–Nov 11): 60-47, +27.1u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date97846151
Last 30 days69436109

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 68% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/middle-tennessee-blue-raiders-at-liberty-flames-total-2026-11-14-27518" title="Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/middle-tennessee-blue-raiders-at-liberty-flames-total-2026-11-14-27518">MTSU @ LIB Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>