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CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 33 books
FLA +3.5 (21 consensus books · 33 tracked)
Market Move
UK -3.5 to -3.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 55 (151 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
FLA 40.5% · UK 59.5%
Consensus Spread
UK -3.5
Consensus Total
52.5
Market-Implied Score
FLA 24.5 – UK 28

Market Brief: FLA @ UK Spread

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Spread: vig-free consensus stands at FLA +3.5 -107 / UK -3.5 +107 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (33 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: FLA +3.5 -114 at ProphetX; UK -3 -118 at BetMGM.

The line is unchanged since open (UK -3.5) across 37 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET).

What is the FLA @ UK spread consensus line and best price per side?

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Spread: vig-free consensus stands at FLA +3.5 -107 / UK -3.5 +107 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (33 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: FLA +3.5 -114 at ProphetX; UK -3 -118 at BetMGM.

How has the FLA @ UK spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (UK -3.5) across 37 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for FLA @ UK spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET).

Why is the FLA @ UK spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from FLA +3.5 to FLA +3 across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

FLA
Vig-free consensus +3.5 -107 (51.6% across 21 books)
Best price: +3.5 -114 at ProphetX
UK
Vig-free consensus -3.5 +107 (48.4% across 21 books)
Best price: -3 -118 at BetMGM

FLA @ UK Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookFLAUKExecution
BetMGM+3-102-3-118BetMGM
Caesars+3.5-115-3.5-105Caesars
DraftKings+3.5-120-3.5+100DraftKings
FanDuel+3.5-120-3.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics+3.5-115-3.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX+3.5-114-3.5+110ProphetX

Full market: 33 sportsbooks, consensus FLA +3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: FLA @ UK Spread

The Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats spread opened at UK -3.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at UK -3.5 across 37 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 10:28 AM ET, the market consensus moved through 3, shifting from FLA +3.5 to FLA +3 toward FLA. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 3 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

Across the 33 sportsbooks currently quoting the Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices FLA at +3.5 -107 (51.6% vig-free probability) and UK at -3.5 +107 (48.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: FLA +3.5 -114 at ProphetX; UK -3 -118 at BetMGM.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 55 (151 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.7% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date851155151
Last 30 days5643393

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/florida-gators-at-kentucky-wildcats-spread-2026-11-14-27506" title="Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/florida-gators-at-kentucky-wildcats-spread-2026-11-14-27506">FLA @ UK Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>