College Football team briefing / WagerBird research desk

Florida Gators

The matchup. The market. The case for your next move.

Results, schedule and game-day research ·
Season record4–3Lost last game
Against the spread3–3At the closing number
Last 5 games
WLLWL
Oldest to newest →
Next matchup

Sooners at Gators

Tonightvs Sooners6:45 PM CT 7:45 PM ET
Gators −5.5Total 45.5Gators ML −212Kalshi Gators 70¢ at 7:57 AM CT Sat 11/7Lines at 7:05 AM CT
Last time out Sat 10/31L 8-27at Bulldogs
Inside the game-day briefing
16Reported player statuses45Projected starters
Read the research and matchup notes

Tonight’s Gators pick

Kicks off in 7h 25m

Sooners at Gators

Sat Nov 7 · 6:45 PM CT · 7:45 PM ET · released and locked
58
Signal strength
3 units
Signal strength 58, released before kickoff with its price locked.
58
Tonight’s pick is locked.Game pick · price locked at release
6–4
on Gators games this season
60.0%
win rate, 10 graded picks

Every Gators pick we have graded is listed below, wins and losses.

Unlock tonight’s pick

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Game-day research

Sooners at Gators preview: what our research says

Florida returns home at 4-3 and ranked No. 25. Its home record is 2-1, compared with 2-2 on the road. The 27-24 win at Texas was followed by an 8-27 loss to Georgia. Florida also scored 52 against Ole Miss but managed 17 at Missouri and 19 against South Carolina.

Jon Sumrall has turned to Tramell Jones Jr. at quarterback after Aaron Philo was replaced against Georgia. Jones threw two touchdown passes without a turnover against Texas, both to Lacota Dippre. Jones is playing through an unspecified injury that an earlier update said may require surgery after the season. Both quarterbacks have continued practicing.

The personnel changes extend beyond quarterback. Vernell Brown III remains out with a knee injury, while Bailey Stockton is probable with a foot issue. Caden Jones is projected to replace the unavailable Emeka Ugorji at right tackle. Jeramiah McCloud is suspended, with DK Kalu and Joseph Mbatchou expected to take on more defensive-line snaps.

Oklahoma has changed offensive play callers, naming Jason Witten interim offensive coordinator. Florida hosts the 4-4 Sooners tonight.

Season at time of writing

Florida is 4-3, with a 2-1 home record and a 2-2 road record, and is ranked No. 25 this week. The Gators have scored 52 against Ole Miss and 44 at Auburn, but scored 8 against Georgia and 17 at Missouri. Against Texas, Florida rallied for a 27-24 win after trailing 17-3.

The news

Jones takes the quarterback reins

Florida is turning to Tramell Jones Jr. at quarterback after Aaron Philo started against Georgia and was replaced. Jones is playing through an unspecified injury; the coach previously said he may need surgery after the season.

Availability reshapes the rotation

Vernell Brown III is out with a knee injury, while Bailey Stockton is listed as probable. Florida also lists Emmanuel Oyebadejo as probable, leaving changes at receiver and on the defensive front.

Changes in the trenches

Emeka Ugorji is out at right tackle, and Caden Jones is projected to take his place. Jeramiah McCloud is out after a suspension; DK Kalu and Joseph Mbatchou are expected to see more defensive-line snaps.

A response after Georgia

Jon Sumrall is pushing Florida to respond after the loss to Georgia. Oklahoma has changed offensive play callers, naming Jason Witten interim offensive coordinator after dismissing Ben Arbuckle.

Injuries

Injury report as of : 6 Gators and 10 Sooners on the report.

Gators
  • Vernell Brown IIIKnee injury; listed out on the Nov. 6 update. Return timing was not stated.Out
  • Jaden RobinsonListed out; the report did not specify an injury or return timing.Out
  • Emeka UgorjiListed out; the report did not specify an injury or return timing.Out
  • Evan ChiecaListed out; the report did not specify an injury or return timing.Out
  • Jeramiah McCloudOut while suspended for the Oklahoma game; Florida’s update did not give a return date.Out
  • Tramell Jones Jr.Playing through an unspecified injury; a prior update said he may need surgery after the season. He is not listed on the Friday availability report.Day-to-day
Sooners
  • Taylor HeimListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Dakoda FieldsListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Trell HarrisListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Cole SullivanListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Trynae WashingtonListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Jacobe JohnsonListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Ryan FodjeListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • Fred HintonListed out; no injury details or return timing were given.Out
  • +2 more · full report in the Terminal
The matchup
Gators projected starters
  • Tramell Jones Jr.QB
  • Jadan BaughRB
  • Dallas Wilson (WR-X)
  • Eric Singleton Jr. (WR-Z)
  • Bailey StocktonSLOT
  • Lacota DippreTE
  • Bryce LovettLT
  • Knijeah HarrisLG
  • Harrison MooreC
  • TJ Shanahan Jr.RG
  • Caden JonesRT
  • Kamran JamesDE
  • Brendan BettNT
  • DK KaluDT
  • Jayden WoodsJACK
  • Myles GrahamWLB
  • Aaron ChilesMLB
  • Ty JacksonSLB
  • Cormani McClainLCB
  • Bryce ThorntonSS
  • DJ ColemanFS
  • Ben Hanks IIIRCB
  • Kanye ClarkNB
Sooners projected starters
  • John MateerQB
  • Lloyd AvantRB
  • Ivan Carreon (WR-X)
  • Manny Choice (WR-Z)
  • Isaiah Sategna III (WR-H)
  • Rocky BeersTE
  • Michael FasusiLT
  • Noah BestLG
  • Caleb NittaC
  • Heath OzaetaRG
  • E’Marion HarrisRT
  • Taylor WeinLDE
  • David StoneLDT
  • Jayden JacksonRDT
  • Adepoju AdebaworeRDE
  • Kip LewisWLB
  • Owen HeineckeMLB
  • Trystan HaynesLCB
  • Michael BoganowskiSS
  • Omarion RobinsonFS
  • Courtland GuilloryRCB
  • Reggie Powers IIINB
Updated How we grade

Written by the WagerBird research team from our own results, line captures and graded picks. Updated . How we grade →

Sooners at Gators odds and prediction markets

Sportsbook prices at 7:57 AM CT

Prices as of : the Gators are −6 to −5 at five sportsbooks and the total is 44.5–45.5.

WagerBird earns a commission when you sign up through a sportsbook link on this page. That does not change the prices shown or which one is marked best. Offers are for new customers in states where each sportsbook is licensed; terms apply at the sportsbook.

Prediction markets

Kalshi and Polymarket on Sooners at Gators

Prices at 7:57 AM CT Sat 11/7

Gators to win costs 70¢ on Kalshi, against −215 at the best sportsbook (FanDuel). A Yes price in cents is the market’s chance in percent; Kalshi’s trading fee is extra.

MarketKalshiPolymarketBest sportsbook
Gators to win70¢70% chance68¢68% chance−215FanDuel
Sooners to win35¢35% chance35¢35% chance+184Caesars
Gators −5.554¢54% chance52¢52% chance−5.5 −110DraftKings
Over 45.5 total pointsNot listed51¢51% chanceo45.5 −105DraftKings

Sportsbooks

SportsbookSpreadMoney lineTotalSign up
GatorsSoonersGatorsSoonersOverUnder
FanDuel−5.5−118+5.5−104−215+180o44.5−118u44.5−104Sign up
DraftKingsClaim the DraftKings new-customer offer−5.5−110+5.5−110−218+180o45.5−105u45.5−115Sign up
BetMGMNJ MI PA WV: Bet $10 Get $150. All other states: $1500 Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win
Code WAGERBIRD1
−6−108+6−110−220+180o44.5−115u44.5−105Sign up
CaesarsBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Wagers Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
Code WBIRD1DYW
−5.5−113+5.5−107−225+184o45.5−106u45.5−114Sign up
FanaticsNew Customers Get Up To $1,000 Matched In FanCash−5−115+5−105−215+175o45.5−105u45.5−115Sign up

BestGreen is the best price at the same line among these five sportsbooks. Prices as of 7:57 AM CT; they move until the start, and each sportsbook shows its live price before you confirm.

Line movement

vs Oklahoma SoonersSat Nov 7 · 6:45 PM CT · 7:45 PM ET

Lines as of : the Gators spread is −5.5 (opened −7); the total is 45.5, where it opened.

Gators spread−7−5.5+1.5
Total45.545.5No move
Gators team total26.526.5No move
Gators money line−270−212+58

Open, then now.

Results and against the spread

4–3 · 3–3 ATS
Record
4–3
Against the spread
3–3
Form, last 5
WLLWL
Last game
L 8-27at Bulldogs
DateGameResultSpreadATS
Sat 10/31at Georgia BulldogsL 8-27+10.5Missed
Sat 10/17at Texas LonghornsW 27-24+10Covered
Sat 10/10vs South Carolina GamecocksL 19-38−10.5Missed
Sat 10/3at Missouri TigersL 17-45−4Missed
Sat 9/26vs Ole Miss RebelsW 52-28−4Covered

Spread is the Gators’ closing number. ATS is against the spread at the closing number.

Schedule

at WildcatsFri 11/13 · 11:00 PM CT12:00 AM ET
vs CommodoresFri 11/20 · 11:00 PM CT12:00 AM ET
at SeminolesFri 11/27 · 2:30 PM CT3:30 PM ET

Our Gators picks, graded

Wins and losses

6–4 on Gators games this season · 60.0%

  • 73
    Full Game Game Total: Under 56.5 −110Sat 10/31
    win+0.9%
  • 62
    Full Game Game Total: Under 53.5 −107Sat 10/17
    win+2 pts
  • 54
    Full Game Spread: Texas Longhorns -9.5 −110Sat 10/17
    loss+4 pts
  • 68
    Full Game Team Total: South Carolina Gamecocks Over 23.5 −121Sat 10/10
    win
  • 62
    Full Game Player Prop: Aaron Philo Passing Tds under 1.5 −122Sat 10/3
    win
  • 72
    Full Game Spread: Florida Gators -5.5 −105Sat 10/3
    loss+2.3%
  • 70
    Full Game Player Prop: Horatio Fields Receptions over 4.5 +150Sat 9/26
    loss+1.2%
  • 74
    1st Half Team Total: Florida Gators Over 14.5 −110Sat 9/26
    win+1 pt
  • 70
    Full Game Game Total: Under 53 −110Sat 9/19
    loss
  • 61
    1st Half Team Total: Florida Atlantic Owls Over 7.5 +113Sat 9/5
    win

The orange number is Signal strength. CLV compares our price with the closing price at the same sportsbook; shown when it is in our favor. How we grade

Gators questions, answered

Is there a Gators pick for this matchup?

Yes. Our Gators pick for Sooners at Gators was released before kickoff at Signal strength 58. Unlock it in the Terminal.

What is the Gators' record this season?

The Florida Gators are 4-3: 2-1 at home and 2-2 on the road.

When do the Gators play next?

The Gators host the Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday, November 7 at 6:45 PM CT (7:45 PM ET).

Who is on the Gators injury report?

The Gators list Vernell Brown III (Out), Jaden Robinson (Out), Emeka Ugorji (Out), Evan Chieca (Out), Jeramiah McCloud (Out), Bailey Stockton (Probable), Emmanuel Oyebadejo (Probable), Tramell Jones Jr. (Day-to-day).

What matters for the Gators against the Sooners?

Florida hosts Oklahoma at 6:45 PM CT. Florida’s Friday update lists Vernell Brown III, Jaden Robinson, Emeka Ugorji, Evan Chieca and Jeramiah McCloud as out; Bailey Stockton and Emmanuel Oyebadejo are probable. Oklahoma lists eight players out, with Eddy Pierre-Louis doubtful, Peyton Bowen questionable, and Elijah Thomas and Kenny Ozowalu probable.

Gators Odds Tonight vs Sooners: Injuries, Spread, Picks | WagerBird