ENES
CFB · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 28.5 → 27.5 (-1.0 pts)

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 10 books
27.5 (8 consensus books · 10 tracked)
Market Move
28.5 to 27.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
FLA 42.6% · UK 57.4%
Consensus Spread
UK -3
Consensus Total
52.5
Market-Implied Score
FLA 24.8 – UK 27.8

Market Brief: FLA @ UK Home Team Total

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 27.5 -105 / Under 27.5 +105 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (10 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 27.5 -110 at DraftKings; Under 28.5 -139 at Caesars.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 28.5 to 27.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 11 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET).

What is the FLA @ UK home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Florida Gators @ Kentucky Wildcats Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 27.5 -105 / Under 27.5 +105 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (10 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 27.5 -110 at DraftKings; Under 28.5 -139 at Caesars.

How has the FLA @ UK home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 28.5 to 27.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 11 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for FLA @ UK home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET).

Why is the FLA @ UK Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 27.5 -105 (51.1% across 8 books)
Best price: 27.5 -110 at DraftKings
Under
Vig-free consensus 27.5 +105 (48.9% across 8 books)
Best price: 28.5 -139 at Caesars

FLA @ UK Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM27.5-11827.5+100BetMGM
Caesars28.5+10528.5-139Caesars
DraftKings27.5-11027.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel27.5-12827.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics27.5-12027.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 10 sportsbooks, consensus 27.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: FLA @ UK Home Team Total

The Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats Kentucky Wildcats team total opened at 28.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 27.5 across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:15 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:31 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 9:44 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats Kentucky Wildcats team total.

Across the 10 sportsbooks currently quoting the Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats Kentucky Wildcats team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices Over at 27.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 27.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 27.5 -110 at DraftKings; Under 28.5 -139 at Caesars.

In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7

Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3362261
Last 30 days101617

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/florida-gators-at-kentucky-wildcats-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27506" title="Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/florida-gators-at-kentucky-wildcats-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27506">FLA @ UK Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>