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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: SJST (+0.8% implied prob)

Alabama State Hornets @ San Jose State Spartans Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 26 books
ALST +540 (26 consensus books · 26 tracked)
Market Move
SJST 88.5% to 89.3% (0.8% implied probability toward SJST)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ALST 15.6% · SJST 84.4%
Consensus Spread
SJST -12.5
Consensus Total
158.5
Market-Implied Score
ALST 73 – SJST 85.5

Market Brief: ALST @ SJST Moneyline

Alabama State Hornets @ San Jose State Spartans Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALST +540 / SJST -540 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (26 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:24 AM ET). Best price per side: ALST +600 at BetMGM; SJST -750 at Fanatics.

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 88.5% to 89.3% toward SJST (0.8% implied probability) across 27 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the ALST @ SJST moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Alabama State Hornets @ San Jose State Spartans Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALST +540 / SJST -540 across 26 consensus sportsbooks (26 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:24 AM ET). Best price per side: ALST +600 at BetMGM; SJST -750 at Fanatics.

How has the ALST @ SJST moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 88.5% to 89.3% toward SJST (0.8% implied probability) across 27 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ALST @ SJST moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 PM ET).

Why is the ALST @ SJST moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward SJST across 10 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ALST
Vig-free consensus +540 (15.6% across 26 books)
Best price: +600 at BetMGM
SJST
Vig-free consensus -540 (84.4% across 26 books)
Best price: -750 at Fanatics

ALST @ SJST Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookALSTSJSTExecution
BetMGM+600-900BetMGM
FanDuel+580-880FanDuel
Fanatics+525-750Fanatics
ProphetX+520-790ProphetX

Full market: 26 sportsbooks, consensus ALST +540. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ALST @ SJST Moneyline

The Alabama State Hornets at San Jose State Spartans moneyline opened at 88.5% implied probability for SJST on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 5:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 89.3% implied probability for SJST across 27 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8% implied probability, with net market movement toward SJST. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:24 AM ET.

At Sun, Nov 15, 12:21 AM ET, 10 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SJST by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alabama State Hornets at San Jose State Spartans moneyline.

Across the 26 sportsbooks currently quoting the Alabama State Hornets at San Jose State Spartans moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 26-book consensus prices ALST at +540 (15.6% vig-free probability) and SJST at -540 (84.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ALST +600 at BetMGM; SJST -750 at Fanatics.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date43310
Last 30 days43310

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Alabama State Hornets at San Jose State Spartans (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/alabama-state-hornets-at-san-jose-state-spartans-moneyline-2026-11-15-35074" title="Alabama State Hornets at San Jose State Spartans Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/alabama-state-hornets-at-san-jose-state-spartans-moneyline-2026-11-15-35074">ALST @ SJST Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>