South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 25 books
- USA +8.5 (15 consensus books · 25 tracked)
- Market Move
- UNT -8.5 to -8.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 42 · At close: 36 · Behind: 56 (134 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- USA 23.9% · UNT 76.1%
- Consensus Spread
- UNT -8.5
- Consensus Total
- 136.5
- Market-Implied Score
- USA 64 – UNT 72.5
Market Brief: USA @ UNT Spread
South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USA +8.5 -103 / UNT -8.5 +103 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (25 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 11:29 PM ET). Best price per side: USA +8.5 -110 at Caesars; UNT -7.5 -120 at FanDuel.
The line is unchanged since open (UNT -8.5) across 26 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).
What is the USA @ UNT spread consensus line and best price per side?
South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USA +8.5 -103 / UNT -8.5 +103 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (25 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 11:29 PM ET). Best price per side: USA +8.5 -110 at Caesars; UNT -7.5 -120 at FanDuel.
How has the USA @ UNT spread moved from open to current?
The line is unchanged since open (UNT -8.5) across 26 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for USA @ UNT spread?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).
Why is the USA @ UNT spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward UNT across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward USA across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
USA @ UNT Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 25 sportsbooks, consensus USA +8.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: USA @ UNT Spread
The South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green spread opened at UNT -8.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 4:30 PM ET) and currently sits at UNT -8.5 across 26 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 11:29 PM ET.
At Fri, Nov 13, 4:44 PM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UNT by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green spread.
At Fri, Nov 13, 11:00 PM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green spread.
Across the 25 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices USA at +8.5 -103 (50.8% vig-free probability) and UNT at -8.5 +103 (49.2% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +8.5 -110 at Caesars; UNT -7.5 -120 at FanDuel.
In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 42 · At the close: 36 · Behind close: 56 (134 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 43.3% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 59 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-north-texas-mean-green-spread-2026-11-14-34976" title="South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-north-texas-mean-green-spread-2026-11-14-34976">USA @ UNT Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>