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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: USA (+1.0% implied prob)

South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 22 books
USA +314 (22 consensus books · 22 tracked)
Market Move
UNT 81.0% to 80.0% (1.0% implied probability toward USA)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 3 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
USA 24.2% · UNT 75.8%
Consensus Spread
UNT -8.5
Consensus Total
136.5
Market-Implied Score
USA 64 – UNT 72.5

Market Brief: USA @ UNT Moneyline

South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USA +314 / UNT -314 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: USA +320 at DraftKings; UNT -355 at ProphetX.

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 81.0% to 80.0% toward USA (1.0% implied probability) across 24 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).

What is the USA @ UNT moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

South Alabama Jaguars @ North Texas Mean Green Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USA +314 / UNT -314 across 22 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET). Best price per side: USA +320 at DraftKings; UNT -355 at ProphetX.

How has the USA @ UNT moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 81.0% to 80.0% toward USA (1.0% implied probability) across 24 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for USA @ UNT moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).

Why is the USA @ UNT moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.9% implied probability) toward USA across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

USA
Vig-free consensus +314 (24.2% across 22 books)
Best price: +320 at DraftKings
UNT
Vig-free consensus -314 (75.8% across 22 books)
Best price: -355 at ProphetX

USA @ UNT Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUSAUNTExecution
BetMGM+300-400BetMGM
DraftKings+320-410DraftKings
FanDuel+290-365FanDuel
Fanatics+310-400Fanatics
ProphetX+320-355ProphetX

Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus USA +314. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: USA @ UNT Moneyline

The South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green moneyline opened at 81.0% implied probability for UNT on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 5:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 80.0% implied probability for UNT across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward USA. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:18 AM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 10:59 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 1.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green moneyline.

Across the 22 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 22-book consensus prices USA at +314 (24.2% vig-free probability) and UNT at -314 (75.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +320 at DraftKings; UNT -355 at ProphetX.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 3 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (9 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3339
Last 30 days3339

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-north-texas-mean-green-moneyline-2026-11-14-34976" title="South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-north-texas-mean-green-moneyline-2026-11-14-34976">USA @ UNT Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>