New Mexico State Aggies @ San Diego State Aztecs Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 36 books
- NMSU +644 (36 consensus books · 36 tracked)
- Market Move
- SDSU 89.4% to 90.9% (1.5% implied probability toward SDSU)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- NMSU 13.4% · SDSU 86.6%
- Consensus Spread
- SDSU -12.5
- Consensus Total
- 142.5
- Market-Implied Score
- NMSU 65 – SDSU 77.5
Market Brief: NMSU @ SDSU Moneyline
New Mexico State Aggies @ San Diego State Aztecs Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at NMSU +644 / SDSU -644 across 36 consensus sportsbooks (36 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET). Best price per side: NMSU +720 at ProphetX; SDSU -810 at ProphetX.
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 4:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 89.4% to 90.9% toward SDSU (1.5% implied probability) across 36 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET).
What is the NMSU @ SDSU moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
New Mexico State Aggies @ San Diego State Aztecs Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at NMSU +644 / SDSU -644 across 36 consensus sportsbooks (36 total books tracked as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET). Best price per side: NMSU +720 at ProphetX; SDSU -810 at ProphetX.
How has the NMSU @ SDSU moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 4:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 89.4% to 90.9% toward SDSU (1.5% implied probability) across 36 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for NMSU @ SDSU moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET).
Why is the NMSU @ SDSU moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.3% implied probability) toward SDSU across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NMSU @ SDSU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 36 sportsbooks, consensus NMSU +644. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: NMSU @ SDSU Moneyline
The New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs moneyline opened at 89.4% implied probability for SDSU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 4:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 90.9% implied probability for SDSU across 36 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward SDSU. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 15, 12:14 AM ET.
At Sat, Nov 14, 7:44 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SDSU by a median of 2.3% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs moneyline.
Across the 36 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 36-book consensus prices NMSU at +644 (13.4% vig-free probability) and SDSU at -644 (86.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NMSU +720 at ProphetX; SDSU -810 at ProphetX.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/new-mexico-state-aggies-at-san-diego-state-aztecs-moneyline-2026-11-15-35061" title="New Mexico State Aggies at San Diego State Aztecs Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/new-mexico-state-aggies-at-san-diego-state-aztecs-moneyline-2026-11-15-35061">NMSU @ SDSU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>