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CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LOU -7.5 → -8 (-0.5 pts)

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 14 books
LOU -7.5 (5 consensus books · 14 tracked)
Market Move
MEM +7.5 to +8 (0.5 pts toward LOU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 45 · At close: 37 · Behind: 60 (142 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
LOU 74.0% · MEM 26.0%
Consensus Spread
MEM +7.5
Consensus Total
162.5
Market-Implied Score
LOU 85 – MEM 77.5

Market Brief: LOU @ MEM Spread

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at LOU -7.5 -101 / MEM +7.5 +101 across 5 consensus sportsbooks (14 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:48 PM ET). Best price per side: LOU -7.5 -110 at Caesars; MEM +8.5 -115 at Fanatics.

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), the line moved from LOU -7.5 to LOU -8 (0.5 pts) across 14 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

What is the LOU @ MEM spread consensus line and best price per side?

Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers Spread: vig-free consensus stands at LOU -7.5 -101 / MEM +7.5 +101 across 5 consensus sportsbooks (14 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:48 PM ET). Best price per side: LOU -7.5 -110 at Caesars; MEM +8.5 -115 at Fanatics.

How has the LOU @ MEM spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET), the line moved from LOU -7.5 to LOU -8 (0.5 pts) across 14 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for LOU @ MEM spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET).

Why is the LOU @ MEM spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward LOU across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

LOU
Vig-free consensus -7.5 -101 (50.3% across 5 books)
Best price: -7.5 -110 at Caesars
MEM
Vig-free consensus +7.5 +101 (49.7% across 5 books)
Best price: +8.5 -115 at Fanatics

LOU @ MEM Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookLOUMEMExecution
Caesars-7.5-110+7.5-110Caesars
FanDuel-7.5-110+7.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics-8.5-105+8.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX—+7.5-122ProphetX

Full market: 14 sportsbooks, consensus LOU -7.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: LOU @ MEM Spread

The Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers spread opened at MEM +7.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 14, 1:45 PM ET) and currently sits at MEM +8 across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward LOU. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 2:48 PM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 2:44 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LOU by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers spread.

Across the 14 sportsbooks currently quoting the Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 5-book consensus prices LOU at -7.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and MEM at +7.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: LOU -7.5 -110 at Caesars; MEM +8.5 -115 at Fanatics.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 45 · At the close: 37 · Behind close: 60 (142 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.9% of moved lines ahead of close (45 Ahead of close · 37 At the close · 60 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date453760142
Last 30 days453760142

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/louisville-cardinals-at-memphis-tigers-spread-2026-11-15-35040" title="Louisville Cardinals at Memphis Tigers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/louisville-cardinals-at-memphis-tigers-spread-2026-11-15-35040">LOU @ MEM Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>