Dylan Guenther (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Dylan Guenther's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Dylan Guenther)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN @ UTA | 2.5 (+118) | — | 4 | Over | |
| UTA @ PIT | 2.5 (-140) | 0.0 | 0 | Under | |
| UTA @ PHI | 2.5 (-138) | 0.0 | 4 | Over | |
| UTA @ TOR | 3.5 (+126) | +1.0 | 2 | Under | |
| UTA @ MON | 2.5 (-128) | -1.0 | 1 | Under | |
| UTA @ OTT | 2.5 (-130) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Dylan Guenther Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.3).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 2.2
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 · vs MIN | 2.5 | — | 4 | +1.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ PIT | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ PHI | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nov 3 · @ TOR | 3.5 | +1.0 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Nov 5 · @ MON | 2.5 | -1.0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ OTT | 2.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Dylan Guenther Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (2 Beat, 1 Tied, 1 Lost)
2 Beat / 1 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 4 settled Dylan Guenther prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | UTA @ PHI | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-140) · FanDuel | 2.5 | 4 | Lost | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 22 | UTA @ SEA | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-125) · Fanatics | 2.5 | 2 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 17 | EDM @ UTA | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-110) · Fanatics | 2.5 | 2 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 6 | UTA @ NJ | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-130) · Fanatics | 2.5 | 5 | Tied | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Dylan Guenther Prop Write-Ups
Guenther's established shooting volume and premium attacking deployment give him multiple routes to three shots on net.
Counter-Case: Philadelphia can push his attempts toward the perimeter and block the shooting lanes. A quiet penalty game or a Utah lead that reduces late attacking urgency can leave him short of the required shots.
Guenther's regular shooting rate, separate even-strength line and primary power-play assignment support a path to three shots.
Counter-Case: Seattle can limit Guenther's extra opportunities by staying out of the penalty box. Cooley and Trocheck can finish the second line's possessions themselves, while other shooters absorb the primary power-play group's attempts.
Guenther's established shooting volume and first-unit access support at least three shots on goal.
Counter-Case: Edmonton can block Guenther's one-timers or force attempts wide, neither of which adds a shot on goal. An early Utah lead can also reduce the late attacking volume he needs to reach three.
Guenther combines a season-long three-shot pace with first-unit opportunities.
Counter-Case: Guenther finished with two shots on October 4, which would lose this wager. Utah's first unit can control the puck while teammates take the actual shots.
Dylan Guenther WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | UTA @ PHI | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 4 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | UTA @ SEA | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat |
| Oct 17 | EDM @ UTA | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat |
| Oct 6 | UTA @ NJ | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 5 | Tied |
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |