By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 2 active games (Oct 10 to Oct 13), Artemi Panarin's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5. WagerBird's modeled fair line for EDM @ LA is 3 (-139).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA @ VEG | 2.5 (-114) | — | 5 | Over | |
| EDM @ LA | 2.5 (-106) | 0.0 | 1 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 4 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.7).
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 · @ COL | 2.5 | — | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oct 3 · @ SJ | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Oct 6 · vs FLA | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Oct 10 · @ VEG | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Oct 13 · vs EDM | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | -1.5 |
Panarin's recent shooting volume and top-line offensive access support three shots without requiring an unusually productive scoring night.
224 SOG · 78 GP · 15 SOG IN 4 GP — Panarin's full-season total was 224 shots in 78 games, and his first four games this season produced 15 shots. The recent activity supports retaining a shooting workload above the threshold rather than valuing him only as a passer.
21 MIN FORECAST · TOP LINE · PP1 — The projected combination with Byfield and Kempe gives Panarin skilled options that can extend offensive possessions. His first-unit power-play assignment supplies additional controlled touches, complementing the expected 21-minute workload.
Panarin can spend the night feeding Kempe rather than taking the final shot himself. Edmonton can also block his attempts or force them wide, leaving him below three counted shots despite useful offensive touches.
Settlement Rule: CASHES WITH AT LEAST THREE ARTEMI PANARIN SHOTS ON GOAL; PUSH IMPOSSIBLE AT 2.5.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal lines across Los Angeles Kings's 5 primary contributors.
| Los Angeles Kings Contributor | Oct 29 vs OTT | Oct 31 vs BUF | Nov 4 vs SJ | Nov 7 vs PIT | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin LA · Shots on Goal | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Quinton Byfield LA · Shots on Goal | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Adrian Kempe LA · Shots on Goal | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Alex Laferriere LA · Shots on Goal | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Trevor Moore LA · Shots on Goal | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ |
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Artemi Panarin prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | EDM @ LA | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-110) · Fanatics | 2.5 | 1 | Tied | Read Write-Up → |
Panarin's recent shooting volume and top-line offensive access support three shots without requiring an unusually productive scoring night.
Counter-Case: Panarin can spend the night feeding Kempe rather than taking the final shot himself. Edmonton can also block his attempts or force them wide, leaving him below three counted shots despite useful offensive touches.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |