Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 35 books
- MIN -151 (35 consensus books · 35 tracked)
- Market Move
- TOR 43.5% to 41.3% (2.2% implied probability toward MIN)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 36 · At close: 1 · Behind: 13 (50 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MIN 60.2% · TOR 39.8%
- Consensus Spread
- TOR +1.5
- Consensus Total
- 6.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MIN 4 – TOR 2.5
Market Brief: MIN @ TOR Moneyline
Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIN -151 / TOR +151 across 35 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN -164 at Caesars; TOR +145 at BetMGM.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 6:40 PM ET), implied probability moved from 43.5% to 41.3% toward MIN (2.2% implied probability) across 35 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).
What is the MIN @ TOR moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIN -151 / TOR +151 across 35 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN -164 at Caesars; TOR +145 at BetMGM.
How has the MIN @ TOR moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 6:40 PM ET), implied probability moved from 43.5% to 41.3% toward MIN (2.2% implied probability) across 35 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MIN @ TOR moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).
Why is the MIN @ TOR moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward TOR across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIN @ TOR Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 35 sportsbooks, consensus MIN -151. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIN @ TOR Moneyline
The Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline opened at 43.5% implied probability for TOR on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:40 PM ET) and currently sits at 41.3% implied probability for TOR across 35 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward MIN. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 11:18 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TOR by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline.
Across the 35 sportsbooks currently quoting the Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 35-book consensus prices MIN at -151 (60.2% vig-free probability) and TOR at +151 (39.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIN -164 at Caesars; TOR +145 at BetMGM.
In the NHL moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 36 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 13 (50 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NHL Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 73.5% of moved lines ahead of close (36 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 13 Behind close) · Sept 30–Nov 10
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 73% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/minnesota-wild-at-toronto-maple-leafs-moneyline-2026-11-12-34911" title="Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/minnesota-wild-at-toronto-maple-leafs-moneyline-2026-11-12-34911">MIN @ TOR Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>