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NHL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: MIN (+0.4% implied prob)

Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 11 books
MIN -130 (11 consensus books · 11 tracked)
Market Move
TOR 47.0% to 46.5% (0.4% implied probability toward MIN)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 2 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (3 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MIN 60.2% · TOR 39.8%
Consensus Spread
TOR +1.5
Consensus Total
6.5
Market-Implied Score
MIN 4 – TOR 2.5

Market Brief: MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline

Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIN -130 / TOR +130 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN -148 at Caesars; TOR +125 at Caesars.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET), implied probability moved from 47.0% to 46.5% toward MIN (0.4% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the MIN @ TOR 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIN -130 / TOR +130 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN -148 at Caesars; TOR +125 at Caesars.

How has the MIN @ TOR 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET), implied probability moved from 47.0% to 46.5% toward MIN (0.4% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MIN @ TOR 1st quarter moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward MIN across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MIN
Vig-free consensus -130 (56.5% across 11 books)
Best price: -148 at Caesars
TOR
Vig-free consensus +130 (43.5% across 11 books)
Best price: +125 at Caesars

MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMINTORExecution
Caesars-148+125Caesars
DraftKings-150+110DraftKings

Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus MIN -130. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline opened at 47.0% implied probability for TOR on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET) and currently sits at 46.5% implied probability for TOR across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward MIN. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 4:46 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MIN by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline.

Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices MIN at -130 (56.5% vig-free probability) and TOR at +130 (43.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIN -148 at Caesars; TOR +125 at Caesars.

In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 2 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (3 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 30–Oct 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date2103
Last 30 days0000

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/minnesota-wild-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-12-34911" title="Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/minnesota-wild-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-12-34911">MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>