Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 11 books
- MIN -130 (11 consensus books · 11 tracked)
- Market Move
- TOR 47.0% to 46.5% (0.4% implied probability toward MIN)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 2 · At close: 1 · Behind: 0 (3 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MIN 60.2% · TOR 39.8%
- Consensus Spread
- TOR +1.5
- Consensus Total
- 6.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MIN 4 – TOR 2.5
Market Brief: MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline
Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIN -130 / TOR +130 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN -148 at Caesars; TOR +125 at Caesars.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET), implied probability moved from 47.0% to 46.5% toward MIN (0.4% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).
What is the MIN @ TOR 1st quarter moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Minnesota Wild @ Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MIN -130 / TOR +130 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (11 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET). Best price per side: MIN -148 at Caesars; TOR +125 at Caesars.
How has the MIN @ TOR 1st quarter moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET), implied probability moved from 47.0% to 46.5% toward MIN (0.4% implied probability) across 12 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MIN @ TOR 1st quarter moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).
Why is the MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward MIN across 3 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus MIN -130. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline
The Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline opened at 47.0% implied probability for TOR on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:36 PM ET) and currently sits at 46.5% implied probability for TOR across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward MIN. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:28 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 4:46 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MIN by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline.
Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.1% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices MIN at -130 (56.5% vig-free probability) and TOR at +130 (43.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MIN -148 at Caesars; TOR +125 at Caesars.
In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 2 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 0 (3 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 100.0% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 0 Behind close) · Sept 30–Oct 8
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 100% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/minnesota-wild-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-12-34911" title="Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/minnesota-wild-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-12-34911">MIN @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>