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NHL · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: OTT (+1.2% implied prob)

Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 35 books
COL -109 (35 consensus books · 35 tracked)
Market Move
OTT 48.8% to 50.0% (1.2% implied probability toward OTT)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 36 · At close: 1 · Behind: 13 (50 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
COL 52.2% · OTT 47.8%
Consensus Spread
OTT +1.5
Consensus Total
6.5
Market-Implied Score
COL 4 – OTT 2.5

Market Brief: COL @ OTT Moneyline

Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at COL -109 / OTT +109 across 35 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET). Best price per side: COL -120 at BetMGM; OTT +102 at Caesars.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 48.8% to 50.0% toward OTT (1.2% implied probability) across 35 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the COL @ OTT moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Colorado Avalanche @ Ottawa Senators Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at COL -109 / OTT +109 across 35 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET). Best price per side: COL -120 at BetMGM; OTT +102 at Caesars.

How has the COL @ OTT moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 48.8% to 50.0% toward OTT (1.2% implied probability) across 35 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for COL @ OTT moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the COL @ OTT moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.4% implied probability) toward OTT across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

COL
Vig-free consensus -109 (52.2% across 35 books)
Best price: -120 at BetMGM
OTT
Vig-free consensus +109 (47.8% across 35 books)
Best price: +102 at Caesars

COL @ OTT Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCOLOTTExecution
BetMGM-120+100BetMGM
Caesars-121+102Caesars
DraftKings-120+100DraftKings
FanDuel-122+102FanDuel
Fanatics-120+100Fanatics

Full market: 35 sportsbooks, consensus COL -109. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: COL @ OTT Moneyline

The Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators moneyline opened at 48.8% implied probability for OTT on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 50.0% implied probability for OTT across 35 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward OTT. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 6:27 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 11:18 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward OTT by a median of 2.4% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators moneyline.

Across the 35 sportsbooks currently quoting the Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 35-book consensus prices COL at -109 (52.2% vig-free probability) and OTT at +109 (47.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: COL -120 at BetMGM; OTT +102 at Caesars.

In the NHL moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 36 · At the close: 1 · Behind close: 13 (50 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 73.5% of moved lines ahead of close (36 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 13 Behind close) · Sept 30–Nov 10

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3611350
Last 30 days160925

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 73% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/colorado-avalanche-at-ottawa-senators-moneyline-2026-11-12-34909" title="Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/colorado-avalanche-at-ottawa-senators-moneyline-2026-11-12-34909">COL @ OTT Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>