Why is the NYJ @ KC Home Team Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 15 books
- 29.5 (7 consensus books · 15 tracked)
- Market Move
- 28 to 29.5 (1.5 pts toward Over)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL team totals: 8 Beat / 3 Tied / 13 Lost (24 measured)
Why is the NYJ @ KC Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NYJ @ KC Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 29.5-108 | 29.5-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 29.5-109 | 29.5-122 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 29.5-115 | 29.5-115 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 28.5-118 | 28.5-108 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 30.5+100 | 30.5-135 | Fanatics |
Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus 29.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: NYJ @ KC Home Team Total
The New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs team total opened at 28 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 29.5 across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.5 pts, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 8:50 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 6:06 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs team total.
Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices Over at 29.5 +103 (49.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 29.5 -103 (50.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 28.5 -118 at FanDuel; Under 30.5 -135 at Fanatics.
In the NFL team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 8 times, tied 3, and lost 13 season to date (24 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (8 Beat, 3 Tied, 13 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 8 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 38.1% |
| Last 30 days | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 40.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs (Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/new-york-jets-at-kansas-city-chiefs-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34261" title="New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/new-york-jets-at-kansas-city-chiefs-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34261">NYJ @ KC Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>