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NFL · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 16.5 → 14.5 (-2.0 pts)

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 15 books
14.5 (9 consensus books · 15 tracked)
Market Move
16.5 to 14.5 (2.0 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 10 · At close: 3 · Behind: 16 (29 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
LAR 79.5% · ARI 20.5%
Consensus Spread
ARI +9.5
Consensus Total
39.5
Market-Implied Score
LAR 24.5 – ARI 15

Market Brief: LAR @ ARI Home Team Total

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 14.5 +108 / Under 14.5 -108 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 14.5 +100 at BetMGM; Under 14.5 -115 at DraftKings.

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 16.5 to 14.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 15 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET).

What is the LAR @ ARI home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 14.5 +108 / Under 14.5 -108 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (15 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 14.5 +100 at BetMGM; Under 14.5 -115 at DraftKings.

How has the LAR @ ARI home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 16.5 to 14.5 toward Under (2.0 pts) across 15 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for LAR @ ARI home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET).

Why is the LAR @ ARI Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 14.5 +108 (48.1% across 9 books)
Best price: 14.5 +100 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 14.5 -108 (51.9% across 9 books)
Best price: 14.5 -115 at DraftKings

LAR @ ARI Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM14.5+10014.5-120BetMGM
Caesars14.5-10514.5-127Caesars
DraftKings14.5-11014.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel14.5-10214.5-125FanDuel
Fanatics14.5-11014.5-120Fanatics

Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus 14.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: LAR @ ARI Home Team Total

The Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals team total opened at 16.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 14.5 across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.0 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 1:50 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals team total.

At Thu, Nov 12, 8:14 AM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals team total.

Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 14.5 +108 (48.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 14.5 -108 (51.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 14.5 +100 at BetMGM; Under 14.5 -115 at DraftKings.

In the NFL team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 10 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 16 (29 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 37.5% of moved lines ahead of close (9 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 15 Behind close) · Sept 27–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1031629
Last 30 days51915

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 38% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-arizona-cardinals-home-team-total-2026-11-15-35146" title="Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-arizona-cardinals-home-team-total-2026-11-15-35146">LAR @ ARI Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>