Why is the GB @ NE 1st Half Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 23 books
- 22.5 (16 consensus books · 23 tracked)
- Market Move
- 23.5 to 22.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL first-half game totals: 14 Beat / 0 Tied / 4 Lost (18 measured)
Why is the GB @ NE 1st Half Total moving?
- Market line moved 0.8 pts toward Under across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
GB @ NE 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 22.5-110 | 22.5-108 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 22.5-120 | 22.5-102 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 22.5-118 | 22.5-102 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 21.5-115 | 21.5-105 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 22.5-115 | 22.5-115 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | 21.5-115 | 21.5+104 | ProphetX |
Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus 22.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: GB @ NE 1st Half Total
The Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-half total opened at 23.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:15 PM CT) and currently sits at 22.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 3:25 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 12:08 PM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 11:15 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.8 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-half total.
Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices Over at 22.5 -103 (50.6% vig-free probability) and Under at 22.5 +103 (49.4% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 21.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 22.5 -102 at Caesars.
In the NFL first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 14 times, tied 0, and lost 4 season to date (18 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 0 Tied, 4 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 14 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 77.8% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 87.5% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-1h-total-2026-11-08-34264" title="Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/green-bay-packers-at-new-england-patriots-1h-total-2026-11-08-34264">GB @ NE 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>