By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 2 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 24), Day'Ron Sharpe's posted points line has held net flat at 10.5. WagerBird's modeled fair line for BKN @ CLE is 12.1 (-271).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA @ BKN | 10.5 (-115) | — | 8 | Under | |
| BKN @ CLE | 10.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 7 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 5 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -3.0 actual output delta (-3.0 Book Over-Adjustment).
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · vs CHA | 10.5 | — | 8 | -2.5 |
| Oct 24 · @ CLE | 10.5 | 0.0 | 7 | -3.5 |
Sharpe's expanded center minutes create a path for his historical finishing production to accumulate.
8.7 PTS · 18.7 MIN — Sharpe averaged 8.7 points in 18.7 minutes last season. A larger court-time role can generate additional finishing possessions without asking him to develop a different kind of offense.
29:40 MIN · 5 FGA — Sharpe started the opener and played 29:40. His five attempts illustrate that the scoring route still requires Brooklyn to find him around the basket rather than merely keep him on the floor.
Cleveland's bigs can deny Sharpe clean catches or draw fouls that interrupt his shifts. Brooklyn's forwards can also control the offense while he screens, leaving too few attempts despite substantial minutes.
Settlement Rule: CASHES DAY'RON SHARPE OVER 9.5 POINTS AT 10 OR MORE; NO PUSH ON THE HALF-POINT LINE.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Brooklyn Nets's 4 primary contributors.
| Brooklyn Nets Contributor | Nov 1 @ IND | Nov 2 @ NYK | Nov 4 vs CHA | Nov 7 @ ATL | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. BKN · Points | 22.5 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 22.5 | -1.0 | Trending Down ↓ | |
| Julius Randle BKN · Points | 20.5 | 17.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | +2.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| Egor Demin BKN · Points | — | — | — | — | -1.0 | — | Trending Down ↓ |
| Day'Ron Sharpe BKN · Points | 8.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | Flat → |
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Day'Ron Sharpe prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BKN @ CLE | Points | Over 9.5 (-135) · BetMGM | 10.5 | 7 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Sharpe's expanded center minutes create a path for his historical finishing production to accumulate.
Counter-Case: Cleveland's bigs can deny Sharpe clean catches or draw fouls that interrupt his shifts. Brooklyn's forwards can also control the offense while he screens, leaving too few attempts despite substantial minutes.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |