Damian Lillard (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), Damian Lillard's posted points line has held net flat at 20.5.
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Damian Lillard)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM @ POR | 20.5 (-115) | — | 9 | Under | |
| POR @ UTA | 23.5 (-105) | +3.0 | 22 | Under | |
| POR @ DEN | 20.5 (-125) | -3.0 | 20 | Under | |
| POR @ PHX | 21.5 (-108) | +1.0 | 25 | Over | |
| POR @ LAL | 21.5 (-104) | 0.0 | 22 | Over | |
| SAS @ POR | 20.5 (+102) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Damian Lillard Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).
- Window Open Line
- 20.5
- Current Posted Line
- 20.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 19.6
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 · vs MEM | 20.5 | — | 9 | -11.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ UTA | 23.5 | +3.0 | 22 | -1.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ DEN | 20.5 | -3.0 | 20 | -0.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ PHX | 21.5 | +1.0 | 25 | +3.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ LAL | 21.5 | 0.0 | 22 | +0.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs SAS | 20.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Damian Lillard Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Damian Lillard.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Damian Lillard.
Damian Lillard WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | POR @ UTA | 3-Pointers Made | Over 3.5 | 3.5 | 3 | Beat |
| Oct 27 | POR @ LAL | 3-Pointers Made | Over 3.5 | 2.5 | 4 | Lost |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |