NBA · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CTMarket UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the BKN @ ATL Home Team Total moving?

Name: Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks team total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T17:04:19.990Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 11:04 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 1:37 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 15 books: 116.5 (11 consensus books · 15 tracked)
Market Move: 116.5 to 116.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record: NBA team totals: 11 Beat / 1 Tied / 3 Lost (15 measured)

Why is the BKN @ ATL Home Team Total moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 10:01 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 116.5 -100 (50% across 11 books)

Best price: 116.5 -110 at Caesars

Under

Vig-free consensus 116.5 +100 (50% across 11 books)

Best price: 116.5 -104 at FanDuel

BKN @ ATL Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	116.5-118	116.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	116.5-110	116.5-120	Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	116.5-115	116.5-105	Sat, Nov 7, 3:25 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	116.5-118	116.5-104	Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	116.5-120	116.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:05 PM CT	Fanatics

Full market: 15 sportsbooks, consensus 116.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: BKN @ ATL Home Team Total

The Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks team total opened at 116.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 116.5 across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 10:01 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks team total.

Across the 15 sportsbooks currently quoting the Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Atlanta Hawks team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices Over at 116.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 116.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 116.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 116.5 -104 at FanDuel.

In the NBA team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 11 times, tied 1, and lost 3 season to date (15 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	11	1	3	15	78.6%
Last 30 days	11	1	3	15	78.6%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks (Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/brooklyn-nets-at-atlanta-hawks-home-team-total-2026-11-07-34192" title="Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/brooklyn-nets-at-atlanta-hawks-home-team-total-2026-11-07-34192">BKN @ ATL Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftBKN @ ATL · Points

BKN @ ATL · Brooklyn Nets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Brooklyn Nets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

BKN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+1.3 Pts Desk Equilibrium (Core-6 Implies 110.8 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
85.0	76.7%	110.8	109.5 (-108)	+1.3

Compare BKN Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 110.5 (O -106)DraftKings 109.5 (O -115)BetMGM 110.5 (O -105)Caesars 109.5 (O -120)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN · Prev 20.5 (+2.0)	22.5	17.8%	20.5%(+2.7% vs Hist)	+1.0		Team Tide Shift
#2 Julius Randle

Brooklyn Nets (BKN)Team Tide Shift

+1.3 Pts Desk Equilibrium (Core-6 Implies 110.8 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Atlanta Hawks (ATL)Team Tide Shift

-19.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 97.0 vs. 116.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Brooklyn Nets team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftBKN @ ATL · Points

BKN @ ATL · Atlanta Hawks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Atlanta Hawks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

ATL Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-19.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 97.0 vs. 116.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 73 Beat / 11 Tied / 36 LostThrough Nov 6 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

BKN @ ATL · BKN · AssistsFree Dossier Release

Nolan Traore · Assists

Pick & Line: Under 4.5
Fair Value: 3.3 (-338)
Book: DraftKings (+140)

Shared backcourt creation leaves Traore with less passing volume than his increased playing time might suggest.

Prop Dossier →Player History

DraftKings: Under 4.5 (-150)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Jalen Johnson ATL · Prev 20.5 (0.0)	20.5	18.0%	17.6%(-0.4% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#2 Nickeil Alexander-Walker ATL · Prev 22.5 (-2.0)	20.5	24.7%	17.6%(-7.1% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 CJ McCollum ATL · Prev 17.5 (-4.0)	13.5	10.7%	11.6%(+0.9% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Onyeka Okongwu ATL · Prev 15.5 (-3.0)	12.5	15.9%	10.7%(-5.2% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Dyson Daniels ATL · Prev 12.5 (-2.0)	10.5	7.7%	9.0%(+1.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Luguentz Dort ATL · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	11.7%	7.3%(-4.4% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the BKN @ ATL Home Team Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

BKN @ ATL Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: BKN @ ATL Home Team Total

NBA Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

BKN @ ATL · Brooklyn Nets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BKN @ ATL · Atlanta Hawks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

Nolan Traore · Assists

BKN @ ATL · Brooklyn Nets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BKN @ ATL · Atlanta Hawks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

Nolan Traore · Assists