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CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 21 books
USM +10.5 (14 consensus books · 21 tracked)
Market Move
LT -10.5 to -10.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
USM 13.9% · LT 86.1%
Consensus Spread
LT -17.5
Consensus Total
56.5
Market-Implied Score
USM 19.5 – LT 37

Market Brief: USM @ LT 1st Half Spread

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USM +10.5 -106 / LT -10.5 +106 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:07 PM ET). Best price per side: USM +10.5 -118 at FanDuel; LT -10 -113 at Caesars.

The line is unchanged since open (LT -10.5) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET).

What is the USM @ LT 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USM +10.5 -106 / LT -10.5 +106 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:07 PM ET). Best price per side: USM +10.5 -118 at FanDuel; LT -10 -113 at Caesars.

How has the USM @ LT 1st half spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (LT -10.5) across 21 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for USM @ LT 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET).

Why is the USM @ LT 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward USM across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

USM
Vig-free consensus +10.5 -106 (51.6% across 14 books)
Best price: +10.5 -118 at FanDuel
LT
Vig-free consensus -10.5 +106 (48.4% across 14 books)
Best price: -10 -113 at Caesars

USM @ LT 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUSMLTExecution
BetMGM+10.5-130-10.5-105BetMGM
Caesars+10-109-10-113Caesars
DraftKings+10.5-125-10.5+105DraftKings
FanDuel+10.5-118-10.5-104FanDuel
Fanatics+10.5-125-10.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX+10.5-126-10.5-101ProphetX

Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus USM +10.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: USM @ LT 1st Half Spread

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs first-half spread opened at LT -10.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at LT -10.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:07 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 9:19 AM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USM by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs first-half spread.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 14-book consensus prices USM at +10.5 -106 (51.6% vig-free probability) and LT at -10.5 +106 (48.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USM +10.5 -118 at FanDuel; LT -10 -113 at Caesars.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 9 (32 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/southern-miss-golden-eagles-at-louisiana-tech-bulldogs-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27529" title="Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/southern-miss-golden-eagles-at-louisiana-tech-bulldogs-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27529">USM @ LT 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>