Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Liberty Flames Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 12 books
- 37.5 (9 consensus books · 12 tracked)
- Market Move
- 36.5 to 37.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MTSU 9.2% · LIB 90.8%
- Consensus Spread
- LIB -21
- Consensus Total
- 53.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MTSU 16.3 – LIB 37.3
Market Brief: MTSU @ LIB Home Team Total
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Liberty Flames Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 37.5 +101 / Under 37.5 -101 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 37.5 -108 at BetMGM; Under 37.5 -110 at BetMGM.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 36.5 to 37.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 13 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
What is the MTSU @ LIB home team total consensus line and best price per side?
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Liberty Flames Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 37.5 +101 / Under 37.5 -101 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 37.5 -108 at BetMGM; Under 37.5 -110 at BetMGM.
How has the MTSU @ LIB home team total moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 36.5 to 37.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 13 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MTSU @ LIB home team total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).
Why is the MTSU @ LIB Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MTSU @ LIB Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 12 sportsbooks, consensus 37.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MTSU @ LIB Home Team Total
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames Liberty Flames team total opened at 36.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 37.5 across 13 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 9:14 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames Liberty Flames team total.
Across the 12 sportsbooks currently quoting the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames Liberty Flames team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 37.5 +101 (49.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 37.5 -101 (50.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 37.5 -108 at BetMGM; Under 37.5 -110 at BetMGM.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7
Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/middle-tennessee-blue-raiders-at-liberty-flames-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27518" title="Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty Flames Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/middle-tennessee-blue-raiders-at-liberty-flames-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27518">MTSU @ LIB Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>