Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Texas State Bobcats Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 28 books
- USM +524 (28 consensus books · 28 tracked)
- Market Move
- TXST 89.3% to 88.9% (0.4% implied probability toward USM)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 3 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- USM 16.0% · TXST 84.0%
- Consensus Spread
- TXST -11.5
- Consensus Total
- 142.5
- Market-Implied Score
- USM 65.5 – TXST 77
Market Brief: USM @ TXST Moneyline
Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Texas State Bobcats Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USM +524 / TXST -524 across 28 consensus sportsbooks (28 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 11:12 PM ET). Best price per side: USM +550 at Fanatics; TXST -610 at ProphetX.
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 89.3% to 88.9% toward USM (0.4% implied probability) across 29 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).
What is the USM @ TXST moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Texas State Bobcats Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at USM +524 / TXST -524 across 28 consensus sportsbooks (28 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 11:12 PM ET). Best price per side: USM +550 at Fanatics; TXST -610 at ProphetX.
How has the USM @ TXST moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 89.3% to 88.9% toward USM (0.4% implied probability) across 29 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for USM @ TXST moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).
Why is the USM @ TXST moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.6% implied probability) toward USM across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
USM @ TXST Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 28 sportsbooks, consensus USM +524. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: USM @ TXST Moneyline
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats moneyline opened at 89.3% implied probability for TXST on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 4:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 88.9% implied probability for TXST across 29 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward USM. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 11:12 PM ET.
At Thu, Nov 12, 10:59 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USM by a median of 1.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats moneyline.
Across the 28 sportsbooks currently quoting the Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 28-book consensus prices USM at +524 (16.0% vig-free probability) and TXST at -524 (84.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USM +550 at Fanatics; TXST -610 at ProphetX.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 3 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (9 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/southern-miss-golden-eagles-at-texas-state-bobcats-moneyline-2026-11-13-34880" title="Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/southern-miss-golden-eagles-at-texas-state-bobcats-moneyline-2026-11-13-34880">USM @ TXST Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>