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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: TAR (+0.7% implied prob)

Alcorn State Braves @ Tarleton State Texans Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 17 books
ALCN +850 (17 consensus books · 17 tracked)
Market Move
TAR 93.7% to 94.3% (0.7% implied probability toward TAR)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 3 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ALCN 10.5% · TAR 89.5%
Consensus Spread
TAR -14.5
Consensus Total
151.5
Market-Implied Score
ALCN 68.5 – TAR 83

Market Brief: ALCN @ TAR Moneyline

Alcorn State Braves @ Tarleton State Texans Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALCN +850 / TAR -850 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 12:58 AM ET). Best price per side: ALCN +1000 at DraftKings; TAR -1250 at Fanatics.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 10:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 93.7% to 94.3% toward TAR (0.7% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the ALCN @ TAR moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Alcorn State Braves @ Tarleton State Texans Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ALCN +850 / TAR -850 across 17 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 12:58 AM ET). Best price per side: ALCN +1000 at DraftKings; TAR -1250 at Fanatics.

How has the ALCN @ TAR moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 10:15 PM ET), implied probability moved from 93.7% to 94.3% toward TAR (0.7% implied probability) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ALCN @ TAR moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the ALCN @ TAR moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.2% implied probability) toward TAR across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ALCN
Vig-free consensus +850 (10.5% across 17 books)
Best price: +1000 at DraftKings
TAR
Vig-free consensus -850 (89.5% across 17 books)
Best price: -1250 at Fanatics

ALCN @ TAR Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookALCNTARExecution
BetMGM+775-1400BetMGM
DraftKings+1000-1800DraftKings
Fanatics+750-1250Fanatics
ProphetX+800-1500ProphetX

Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus ALCN +850. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ALCN @ TAR Moneyline

The Alcorn State Braves at Tarleton State Texans moneyline opened at 93.7% implied probability for TAR on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 10:15 PM ET) and currently sits at 94.3% implied probability for TAR across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.7% implied probability, with net market movement toward TAR. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 12:58 AM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 11:44 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TAR by a median of 3.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Alcorn State Braves at Tarleton State Texans moneyline.

Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the Alcorn State Braves at Tarleton State Texans moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices ALCN at +850 (10.5% vig-free probability) and TAR at -850 (89.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ALCN +1000 at DraftKings; TAR -1250 at Fanatics.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 3 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (9 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3339
Last 30 days3339

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Alcorn State Braves at Tarleton State Texans (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/alcorn-state-braves-at-tarleton-state-texans-moneyline-2026-11-13-34883" title="Alcorn State Braves at Tarleton State Texans Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/alcorn-state-braves-at-tarleton-state-texans-moneyline-2026-11-13-34883">ALCN @ TAR Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>