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CBB · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 149 → 148.5 (-0.5 pts)

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 21 books
148.5 (13 consensus books · 21 tracked)
Market Move
149 to 148.5 (0.5 pts toward Under)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 26 · At close: 35 · Behind: 33 (94 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ILST 61.5% · NDSU 38.5%
Consensus Spread
NDSU +3.5
Consensus Total
148.5
Market-Implied Score
ILST 76 – NDSU 72.5

Market Brief: ILST @ NDSU Total

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 148.5 -101 / Under 148.5 +101 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:45 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 147.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 148.5 -110 at BetMGM.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:30 PM ET), the line moved from 149 to 148.5 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the ILST @ NDSU total consensus line and best price per side?

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 148.5 -101 / Under 148.5 +101 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:45 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 147.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 148.5 -110 at BetMGM.

How has the ILST @ NDSU total moved from open to current?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:30 PM ET), the line moved from 149 to 148.5 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 21 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ILST @ NDSU total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the ILST @ NDSU total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.5 pts toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 148.5 -101 (50.3% across 13 books)
Best price: 147.5 -115 at DraftKings
Under
Vig-free consensus 148.5 +101 (49.7% across 13 books)
Best price: 148.5 -110 at BetMGM

ILST @ NDSU Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM148.5-110148.5-110BetMGM
Caesars148.5-110148.5-110Caesars
DraftKings147.5-115147.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel147.5-115147.5-105FanDuel
Fanatics148.5-110148.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX148.5-114148.5-110ProphetX

Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus 148.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ILST @ NDSU Total

The Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison total opened at 149 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 4:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 148.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:45 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison total.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 13-book consensus prices Over at 148.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 148.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 147.5 -115 at DraftKings; Under 148.5 -110 at BetMGM.

In the CBB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 26 · At the close: 35 · Behind close: 33 (94 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 43.1% of moved lines ahead of close (25 Ahead of close · 35 At the close · 33 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date26353394
Last 30 days26353394

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 44% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/illinois-state-redbirds-at-north-dakota-state-bison-total-2026-11-13-34882" title="Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/illinois-state-redbirds-at-north-dakota-state-bison-total-2026-11-13-34882">ILST @ NDSU Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>