ENES
CBB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: NDSU +4.5 → +4 (-0.5 pts)

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 13)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 22 books
ILST -3.5 (10 consensus books · 22 tracked)
Market Move
NDSU +4.5 to +4 (0.5 pts toward NDSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 41 · At close: 34 · Behind: 55 (130 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ILST 61.5% · NDSU 38.5%
Consensus Spread
NDSU +3.5
Consensus Total
148.5
Market-Implied Score
ILST 76 – NDSU 72.5

Market Brief: ILST @ NDSU Spread

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison Spread: vig-free consensus stands at ILST -3.5 -106 / NDSU +3.5 +106 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: ILST -3.5 -110 at Caesars; NDSU +4.5 -120 at FanDuel.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:30 PM ET), the line moved from NDSU +4.5 to NDSU +4 (0.5 pts) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the ILST @ NDSU spread consensus line and best price per side?

Illinois State Redbirds @ North Dakota State Bison Spread: vig-free consensus stands at ILST -3.5 -106 / NDSU +3.5 +106 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET). Best price per side: ILST -3.5 -110 at Caesars; NDSU +4.5 -120 at FanDuel.

How has the ILST @ NDSU spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 4:30 PM ET), the line moved from NDSU +4.5 to NDSU +4 (0.5 pts) across 21 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ILST @ NDSU spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the ILST @ NDSU spread moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward NDSU across 2 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ILST
Vig-free consensus -3.5 -106 (51.5% across 10 books)
Best price: -3.5 -110 at Caesars
NDSU
Vig-free consensus +3.5 +106 (48.5% across 10 books)
Best price: +4.5 -120 at FanDuel

ILST @ NDSU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookILSTNDSUExecution
BetMGM-3.5-118+3.5-102BetMGM
Caesars-3.5-110+3.5-110Caesars
DraftKings-3.5-115+3.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel-4.5-102+4.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics-4-110+4-110Fanatics
ProphetX-4.5-180—ProphetX

Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus ILST -3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ILST @ NDSU Spread

The Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison spread opened at NDSU +4.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Thu, Nov 12, 4:30 PM ET) and currently sits at NDSU +4 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward NDSU. Scheduled kickoff is Fri, Nov 13, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.

At Thu, Nov 12, 4:44 PM ET, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NDSU by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison spread.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices ILST at -3.5 -106 (51.5% vig-free probability) and NDSU at +3.5 +106 (48.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ILST -3.5 -110 at Caesars; NDSU +4.5 -120 at FanDuel.

In the CBB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 41 · At the close: 34 · Behind close: 55 (130 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.7% of moved lines ahead of close (41 Ahead of close · 34 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date413455130
Last 30 days413455130

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/illinois-state-redbirds-at-north-dakota-state-bison-spread-2026-11-13-34882" title="Illinois State Redbirds at North Dakota State Bison Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/illinois-state-redbirds-at-north-dakota-state-bison-spread-2026-11-13-34882">ILST @ NDSU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>