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Soccer · Total Goals (Over/Under)Market MovementKickoff

Monterrey @ Queretaro Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 18 books
2.5 (18 consensus books · 18 tracked)
Market Move
2.5 to 2.5 (flat since open)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 38 · At close: 12 · Behind: 33 (83 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MON 46.1% · Draw 26.4% · QUE 27.4%
Consensus Spread
QUE +0.5
Consensus Total
2.5
Market-Implied Score
MON 1.5 – QUE 1

Market Brief: MON @ QUE Total Goals (Over/Under)

Monterrey @ Queretaro Total Goals (Over/Under): vig-free consensus stands at Over 2.5 -124 / Under 2.5 +124 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:47 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 2.5 -140 at DraftKings; Under 2.5 +116 at FanDuel.

The line is unchanged since open (2.5) across 21 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).

What is the MON @ QUE total goals (over/under) consensus line and best price per side?

Monterrey @ Queretaro Total Goals (Over/Under): vig-free consensus stands at Over 2.5 -124 / Under 2.5 +124 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (18 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:47 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 2.5 -140 at DraftKings; Under 2.5 +116 at FanDuel.

How has the MON @ QUE total goals (over/under) moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (2.5) across 21 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MON @ QUE total goals (over/under)?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).

Why is the MON @ QUE total Goals (Over/Under) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.5% implied probability) toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.0 goals toward Under across 14 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 2.5 -124 (55.3% across 18 books)
Best price: 2.5 -140 at DraftKings
Under
Vig-free consensus 2.5 +124 (44.7% across 18 books)
Best price: 2.5 +116 at FanDuel

MON @ QUE Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM2.5-1502.5+105BetMGM
DraftKings2.5-1402.5+105DraftKings
FanDuel2.5-1422.5+116FanDuel

Full market: 18 sportsbooks, consensus 2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MON @ QUE Total Goals (Over/Under)

The Monterrey at Queretaro total opened at 2.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 2.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 12:47 AM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 12:12 AM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 3.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Monterrey at Queretaro total.

As of Sat, Nov 14, 12:13 AM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +4.0% toward Under across 14 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 0.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 18 sportsbooks currently quoting the Monterrey at Queretaro total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices Over at 2.5 -124 (55.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 2.5 +124 (44.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 2.5 -140 at DraftKings; Under 2.5 +116 at FanDuel.

In the SOCCER game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 38 · At the close: 12 · Behind close: 33 (83 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

SOCCER Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 53.5% of moved lines ahead of close (38 Ahead of close · 12 At the close · 33 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 8

Release Record — Soccer game totals, last 14 days (Nov 1–Nov 8): 14-7, +9.4u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date38123383
Last 30 days2772357

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 54% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Monterrey at Queretaro (Total Goals (Over/Under)) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/monterrey-at-queretaro-total-2026-11-14-35075" title="Monterrey at Queretaro Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/monterrey-at-queretaro-total-2026-11-14-35075">MON @ QUE Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>