Soccer · 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)Market MovementKickoff Market Move: MON (+5.3% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Monaco at Le Mans: 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 50 books
MON -137 / Empate (Draw) +313 / LEM +454 (50 consensus books · 50 tracked)
Market Move
MON 24.4% to 19.0% (5.3% implied probability toward MON)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER moneylines: 11 Beat / 2 Tied / 8 Lost (21 measured)

Why is the MON @ LEM 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward MON across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MON
Vig-free consensus -137 (57.7% across 50 books)
Best price: -155 at BetMGM
Empate (Draw)
Vig-free consensus +313 (24.2% across 50 books)
Best price: +300 at DraftKings
LEM
Vig-free consensus +454 (18.1% across 50 books)
Best price: +460 at FanDuel

MON @ LEM 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMONEmpate (Draw)LEMUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-155+290+425BetMGM
Caesars-159+285+425Caesars
DraftKings-160+300+450DraftKings
FanDuel-170+290+460FanDuel
Fanatics-160+300+450Fanatics

Full market: 50 sportsbooks, consensus MON -137 / Empate (Draw) +313 / LEM +454. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MON @ LEM 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)

Across 50 tracked sportsbooks, the MON @ LEM 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) implied probability moved from 24.4% at open to 19.0% toward MON (5.3% implied probability).

Best current licensed partner quotes: MON -155 at BetMGM; Empate (Draw) +300 at DraftKings; LEM +460 at FanDuel. Quoting books currently span 4.8% implied probability across the market.

Three-way (1X2) vig-free consensus across 50 sportsbooks prices Monaco at Le Mans at MON -137 (57.7% vig-free), Empate (Draw) +313 (24.2% vig-free), LEM +454 (18.1% vig-free). Each outcome probability is normalized across Away, Empate (Draw), and Home so total vig is removed before comparing against partner sportsbook payouts.

Recorded consensus updates prior to kickoff (Sun, Nov 8, 10:15 AM CT): Sun, Nov 8, 5:33 AM CT: Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward MON across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

In the SOCCER moneylines lane (Season to date, through 2026-11-07), WagerBird's audited releases stand at 11 beat, 2 tied, and 8 lost across 21 measured markets graded against the pre-kickoff closing price at the release book.

SOCCER Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 2 Tied, 8 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date11282157.9%
Last 30 days11272061.1%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Monaco at Le Mans (3-Way Moneyline (1X2)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/monaco-at-le-mans-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-33236" title="Monaco at Le Mans 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/monaco-at-le-mans-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-33236">MON @ LEM 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>