Soccer · 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)Market MovementKickoff Market Move: MON (+3.5% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Monaco at Le Mans: 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 8 books
MON +143 / Empate (Draw) +151 / LEM +427 (8 consensus books · 8 tracked)
Market Move
MON 24.1% to 20.6% (3.5% implied probability toward MON)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER first-half moneylines: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)

Why is the MON @ LEM 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward Empate (Draw) across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MON
Vig-free consensus +143 (41.2% across 8 books)
Best price: +120 at BetMGM
Empate (Draw)
Vig-free consensus +151 (39.8% across 8 books)
Best price: +130 at DraftKings
LEM
Vig-free consensus +427 (19% across 8 books)
Best price: +400 at FanDuel

MON @ LEM 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMONEmpate (Draw)LEMUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+120+125+360BetMGM
DraftKings+120+130+370DraftKings
FanDuel+115+125+400FanDuel

Full market: 8 sportsbooks, consensus MON +143 / Empate (Draw) +151 / LEM +427. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MON @ LEM 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)

Across 8 tracked sportsbooks, the MON @ LEM 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) implied probability moved from 24.1% at open to 20.6% toward MON (3.5% implied probability).

Best current licensed partner quotes: MON +120 at BetMGM; Empate (Draw) +130 at DraftKings; LEM +400 at FanDuel. Quoting books currently span 5.1% implied probability across the market.

Three-way (1X2) vig-free consensus across 8 sportsbooks prices Monaco at Le Mans at MON +143 (41.2% vig-free), Empate (Draw) +151 (39.8% vig-free), LEM +427 (19.0% vig-free). Each outcome probability is normalized across Away, Empate (Draw), and Home so total vig is removed before comparing against partner sportsbook payouts.

Recorded consensus updates prior to kickoff (Sun, Nov 8, 10:15 AM CT): Sun, Nov 8, 12:12 AM CT: Market consensus updated (2.6% implied probability) toward Empate (Draw) across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

In the SOCCER first-half moneylines lane (Season to date, through 2026-11-07), WagerBird's audited releases stand at 2 beat, 0 tied, and 0 lost across 2 measured markets graded against the pre-kickoff closing price at the release book.

SOCCER First-Half Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2002100.0%
Last 30 days2002100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Monaco at Le Mans (1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/monaco-at-le-mans-1h-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-33236" title="Monaco at Le Mans 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/monaco-at-le-mans-1h-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-33236">MON @ LEM 1st Half 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>