Soccer · 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)Market MovementKickoff Market Move: CHE (+2.9% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Chelsea at Sunderland: 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 55 books
CHE -103 / Empate (Draw) +294 / SUN +318 (55 consensus books · 55 tracked)
Market Move
CHE 28.2% to 25.2% (2.9% implied probability toward CHE)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER moneylines: 11 Beat / 2 Tied / 8 Lost (21 measured)

Why is the CHE @ SUN 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.9% implied probability) toward CHE across 8 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market consensus updated (3.3% implied probability) toward CHE across 55 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

CHE
Vig-free consensus -103 (50.7% across 55 books)
Best price: -105 at BetMGM
Empate (Draw)
Vig-free consensus +294 (25.4% across 55 books)
Best price: +275 at DraftKings
SUN
Vig-free consensus +318 (23.9% across 55 books)
Best price: +310 at DraftKings

CHE @ SUN 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCHEEmpate (Draw)SUNUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-105+260+270BetMGM
Caesars-120+265+285Caesars
DraftKings-115+275+310DraftKings
FanDuel-115+270+310FanDuel
Fanatics-115+260+300Fanatics

Full market: 55 sportsbooks, consensus CHE -103 / Empate (Draw) +294 / SUN +318. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: CHE @ SUN 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)

Across 55 tracked sportsbooks, the CHE @ SUN 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) implied probability moved from 28.2% at open to 25.2% toward CHE (2.9% implied probability).

Best current licensed partner quotes: CHE -105 at BetMGM; Empate (Draw) +275 at DraftKings; SUN +310 at DraftKings. Quoting books currently span 3.8% implied probability across the market.

Three-way (1X2) vig-free consensus across 55 sportsbooks prices Chelsea at Sunderland at CHE -103 (50.7% vig-free), Empate (Draw) +294 (25.4% vig-free), SUN +318 (23.9% vig-free). Each outcome probability is normalized across Away, Empate (Draw), and Home so total vig is removed before comparing against partner sportsbook payouts.

Recorded consensus updates prior to kickoff (Sun, Nov 8, 8:00 AM CT): Sun, Nov 8, 4:04 AM CT: Market consensus updated (2.9% implied probability) toward CHE across 8 tracked sportsbooks. Sun, Nov 8, 5:01 AM CT: Market consensus updated (3.3% implied probability) toward CHE across 55 tracked sportsbooks.

In the SOCCER moneylines lane (Season to date, through 2026-11-07), WagerBird's audited releases stand at 11 beat, 2 tied, and 8 lost across 21 measured markets graded against the pre-kickoff closing price at the release book.

SOCCER Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 2 Tied, 8 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date11282157.9%
Last 30 days11272061.1%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Chelsea at Sunderland (3-Way Moneyline (1X2)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/chelsea-at-sunderland-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-34322" title="Chelsea at Sunderland 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/chelsea-at-sunderland-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-34322">CHE @ SUN 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>