NHL · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: TB (+2.2% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the TB @ WPG moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 30 books
TB -129 (30 consensus books · 30 tracked)
Market Move
WPG 45.5% to 45.5% (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
NHL moneylines: 34 Beat / 1 Tied / 12 Lost (47 measured)

Why is the TB @ WPG moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward TB across 2 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TB
Vig-free consensus -129 (56.4% across 30 books)
Best price: -142 at DraftKings
WPG
Vig-free consensus +129 (43.6% across 30 books)
Best price: +125 at FanDuel

TB @ WPG Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTBWPGUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-145+120BetMGM
Caesars-145+123Caesars
DraftKings-142+120DraftKings
FanDuel-150+125FanDuel
Fanatics-145+120Fanatics

Full market: 30 sportsbooks, consensus TB -129. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TB @ WPG Moneyline

The Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets moneyline opened at 45.5% implied probability for WPG on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 3:20 AM CT) and currently sits at 45.5% implied probability for WPG across 30 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 5:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 10:35 AM CT, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TB by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets moneyline.

Across the 30 sportsbooks currently quoting the Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 30-book consensus prices TB at -129 (56.4% vig-free probability) and WPG at +129 (43.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TB -142 at DraftKings; WPG +125 at FanDuel.

In the NHL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 34 times, tied 1, and lost 12 season to date (47 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (34 Beat, 1 Tied, 12 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date341124773.9%
Last 30 days190123161.3%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/tampa-bay-lightning-at-winnipeg-jets-moneyline-2026-11-08-34345" title="Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/tampa-bay-lightning-at-winnipeg-jets-moneyline-2026-11-08-34345">TB @ WPG Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>