Nazem Kadri (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), Nazem Kadri's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Nazem Kadri)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ @ COL | 2.5 (+112) | — | 2 | Under | |
| CGY @ COL | 2.5 (-114) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| COL @ CHI | 2.5 (+116) | 0.0 | 4 | Over | |
| COL @ CBJ | 2.5 (+135) | 0.0 | 1 | Under | |
| NAS @ COL | 2.5 (+112) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| DET @ COL | 2.5 (+114) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Nazem Kadri Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.1).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 2.4
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs NJ | 2.5 | — | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs CGY | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ CHI | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nov 3 · @ CBJ | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs NAS | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs DET | 2.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Nazem Kadri Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)
1 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled Nazem Kadri prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | COL @ DAL | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (+135) · Fanatics | 2.5 | 3 | Tied | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 8 | COL @ CGY | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (+126) · FanDuel | 2.5 | 2 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Nazem Kadri Prop Write-Ups
Kadri’s historical three-shot frequency and active second-line workload support clearing the posted shots threshold.
Counter-Case: Kadri can spend his second-line touches passing to Nelson instead of taking the final shot. Dallas can block his attempts, and a low-penalty game can remove the extra opportunities available to the second power-play unit.
Kadri's Colorado shot usage and projected Nelson-Landeskog line give him a route to three shots.
Counter-Case: Colorado can protect a lead with fewer second-line offensive shifts. Kadri can generate attempts that are blocked or miss the net, leaving him at two shots despite an active game.
Nazem Kadri WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | COL @ DAL | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 3 | Tied |
| Oct 8 | COL @ CGY | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat |
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |