Bo Horvat (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Bo Horvat's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Bo Horvat)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI @ DAL | 2.5 (-114) | — | 2 | Under | |
| NYI @ NAS | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| NYI @ MIN | 2.5 (-135) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| EDM @ NYI | 2.5 (-120) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| CAR @ NYI | 2.5 (-115) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| NJ @ NYI | 2.5 (-145) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Bo Horvat Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.1).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 2.6
- Actual Output Delta
- +0.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · @ DAL | 2.5 | — | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oct 27 · @ NAS | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ MIN | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs EDM | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs CAR | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs NJ | 2.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Bo Horvat Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)
2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 3 settled Bo Horvat prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | EDM @ NYI | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-138) · FanDuel | 2.5 | 3 | Lost | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 25 | NYI @ DAL | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-106) · FanDuel | 2.5 | 2 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 13 | VAN @ NYI | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (-165) · FanDuel | 3.5 | 3 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Bo Horvat Prop Write-Ups
Horvat's established shooting rate and top-line, first-unit power-play workload support reaching three shots.
Counter-Case: Edmonton can keep Horvat's attempts outside and turn potential shots into blocks or misses. If New York builds a lead, his late shifts can become more defensive while his wingers receive the finishing opportunities.
Bo Horvat's repeated shot volume, first-line minutes and first power-play role provide a path to three shots without requiring a high-scoring game.
Counter-Case: Dallas can close the middle and force the first line to spend its possessions along the boards. Long defensive sequences and a controlled, low-event game can leave Horvat short of the final attempt despite normal playing time.
Horvat’s established shooting volume and first-line, first-power-play deployment support three shots in a favorable Vancouver matchup.
Counter-Case: Heineman or Palmieri can finish possessions before Horvat directs a shot on net. Early goals by his power-play teammates can end those opportunities, while an Islanders lead can reduce the offensive workload required from his line.
Bo Horvat WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | EDM @ NYI | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 3 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | NYI @ DAL | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat |
| Oct 13 | VAN @ NYI | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 3.5 | 3 | Beat |
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |