NHL · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: COL (+0.5% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the COL @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 11 books
COL -123 (11 consensus books · 11 tracked)
Market Move
TOR 48.3% to 47.8% (0.5% implied probability toward COL)
Lane CLV record
NHL first-period moneylines: 2 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (3 measured)

Why is the COL @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward TOR across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

COL
Vig-free consensus -123 (55.2% across 11 books)
Best price: -136 at Caesars
TOR
Vig-free consensus +123 (44.8% across 11 books)
Best price: +115 at Caesars

COL @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCOLTORUpdated (CT)Execution
Caesars-136+115Caesars
DraftKings-140+105DraftKings

Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus COL -123. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: COL @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline opened at 48.3% implied probability for TOR on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 10:23 AM CT) and currently sits at 47.8% implied probability for TOR across 12 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward COL. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 7:35 PM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 5:43 PM CT, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TOR by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline.

Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs first-period moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices COL at -123 (55.2% vig-free probability) and TOR at +123 (44.8% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: COL -136 at Caesars; TOR +115 at Caesars.

In the NHL first-period moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NHL First-Period Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date2103100.0%
Last 30 days0000-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nhl/colorado-avalanche-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-10-34660" title="Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nhl/colorado-avalanche-at-toronto-maple-leafs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-10-34660">COL @ TOR 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>