NFL · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: MIA (+0.5% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the DET @ MIA moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 53 books
DET -269 (53 consensus books · 53 tracked)
Market Move
MIA 27.8% to 28.2% (0.5% implied probability toward MIA)
Lane CLV record
NFL moneylines: 3 Beat / 1 Tied / 3 Lost (7 measured)

Why is the DET @ MIA moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward DET across 15 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

DET
Vig-free consensus -269 (72.9% across 53 books)
Best price: -290 at ProphetX
MIA
Vig-free consensus +269 (27.1% across 53 books)
Best price: +280 at ProphetX

DET @ MIA Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookDETMIAUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-300+250BetMGM
Caesars-310+245Caesars
DraftKings-305+245DraftKings
FanDuel-310+250FanDuel
Fanatics-320+250Fanatics
ProphetX-290+280ProphetX

Full market: 53 sportsbooks, consensus DET -269. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: DET @ MIA Moneyline

The Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins moneyline opened at 27.8% implied probability for MIA on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:30 PM CT) and currently sits at 28.2% implied probability for MIA across 53 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward MIA. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 10:20 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 9:31 AM CT, 15 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DET by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins moneyline.

Across the 53 sportsbooks currently quoting the Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 53-book consensus prices DET at -269 (72.9% vig-free probability) and MIA at +269 (27.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: DET -290 at ProphetX; MIA +280 at ProphetX.

In the NFL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 1, and lost 3 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date313750.0%
Last 30 days313750.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/detroit-lions-at-miami-dolphins-moneyline-2026-11-08-34267" title="Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/detroit-lions-at-miami-dolphins-moneyline-2026-11-08-34267">DET @ MIA Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>