NFL · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: NO (+7.6% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the CLE @ NO moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 52 books
CLE +185 (52 consensus books · 52 tracked)
Market Move
NO 59.9% to 67.5% (7.6% implied probability toward NO)
Lane CLV record
NFL moneylines: 3 Beat / 1 Tied / 3 Lost (7 measured)

Why is the CLE @ NO moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.9% implied probability) toward NO across 13 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

CLE
Vig-free consensus +185 (35.1% across 52 books)
Best price: +194 at ProphetX
NO
Vig-free consensus -185 (64.9% across 52 books)
Best price: -198 at FanDuel

CLE @ NO Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCLENOUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+175-210BetMGM
Caesars+175-209Caesars
DraftKings+180-218DraftKings
FanDuel+166-198FanDuel
Fanatics+170-204Fanatics
ProphetX+194-200ProphetX

Full market: 52 sportsbooks, consensus CLE +185. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: CLE @ NO Moneyline

The Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints moneyline opened at 59.9% implied probability for NO on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:30 PM CT) and currently sits at 67.5% implied probability for NO across 52 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 7.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward NO. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 11:16 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 9:34 AM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NO by a median of 1.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints moneyline.

Across the 52 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 52-book consensus prices CLE at +185 (35.1% vig-free probability) and NO at -185 (64.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: CLE +194 at ProphetX; NO -198 at FanDuel.

In the NFL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 1, and lost 3 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NFL Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date313750.0%
Last 30 days313750.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/cleveland-browns-at-new-orleans-saints-moneyline-2026-11-08-34266" title="Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/cleveland-browns-at-new-orleans-saints-moneyline-2026-11-08-34266">CLE @ NO Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>