Why is the DAL @ IND spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- DAL -4.5 (29 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- IND +5.5 to +4.5 (1.0 pt toward IND)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL spreads: 8 Beat / 3 Tied / 8 Lost (19 measured)
Why is the DAL @ IND spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward IND across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
DAL @ IND Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | DAL | IND | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -4.5-108 | +4.5-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -4.5-114 | +4.5-106 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -4.5-115 | +4.5-105 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -4.5-110 | +4.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -4.5-110 | +4.5-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | -4.5-101 | +4.5+100 | ProphetX |
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus DAL -4.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: DAL @ IND Spread
The Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts spread opened at IND +5.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 7:00 PM CT) and currently sits at IND +4.5 across 44 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward IND. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 12:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 9:44 AM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IND by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts spread.
Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 29-book consensus prices DAL at -4.5 -100 (50.1% vig-free probability) and IND at +4.5 +100 (49.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: DAL -4.5 -101 at ProphetX; IND +4.5 +100 at ProphetX.
In the NFL spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 8 times, tied 3, and lost 8 season to date (19 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (8 Beat, 3 Tied, 8 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 8 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 50.0% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 46.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/dallas-cowboys-at-indianapolis-colts-spread-2026-11-08-34262" title="Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/dallas-cowboys-at-indianapolis-colts-spread-2026-11-08-34262">DAL @ IND Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>