Why is the BUF @ MIN moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 53 books
- BUF -170 (53 consensus books · 53 tracked)
- Market Move
- MIN 44.4% to 38.5% (6.0% implied probability toward BUF)
- Lane CLV record
- NFL moneylines: 5 Beat / 1 Tied / 3 Lost (9 measured)
Why is the BUF @ MIN moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward BUF across 18 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUF @ MIN Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | BUF | MIN | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -200 | +165 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -193 | +161 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -192 | +160 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -188 | +158 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -200 | +165 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | -172 | +170 | ProphetX |
Full market: 53 sportsbooks, consensus BUF -170. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUF @ MIN Moneyline
The Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings moneyline opened at 44.4% implied probability for MIN on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 38.5% implied probability for MIN across 53 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 6.0% implied probability, with net market movement toward BUF. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 7:15 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 3:56 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 12:53 PM CT, 18 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BUF by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings moneyline.
Across the 53 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 53-book consensus prices BUF at -170 (62.9% vig-free probability) and MIN at +170 (37.1% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: BUF -172 at ProphetX; MIN +170 at ProphetX.
In the NFL moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 5 times, tied 1, and lost 3 season to date (9 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (5 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 62.5% |
| Last 30 days | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 62.5% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-minnesota-vikings-moneyline-2026-11-09-34265" title="Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-minnesota-vikings-moneyline-2026-11-09-34265">BUF @ MIN Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>