By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted assists total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Sportsbooks have posted OG Anunoby's assists line at 1.5 for PHI @ NYK (Oct 20). WagerBird's modeled fair line for PHI @ NYK is 2.3 (-202).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ NYK | 1.5 (-128) | — | 0 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 5 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Insufficient 6-game box-score history to measure book step-lag.
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 · vs PHI | 1.5 | — | 0 | -1.5 |
Anunoby’s established secondary passing contribution and perimeter shooting threat provide a credible route to two assists without a major usage increase.
2.2 AST · 33.2 MIN · 67 GAMES — Anunoby averaged 2.2 assists in 33.2 minutes across 67 games last season. He remains an expected starter rather than moving into a reduced reserve role. The required contribution is a small number of completed setup passes, not possession-by-possession control of the offense.
6.1 THREE-POINT ATTEMPTS · 38.6% — Anunoby attempted 6.1 threes per game and converted 38.6% last season. When a defender closes hard enough to remove his shot, a quick extra pass can put a teammate into a better finishing position. That route can create assists without asking him to become the primary ball handler.
Open catch-and-shoot looks can end Anunoby’s touches before he passes. If Philadelphia stays attached to the perimeter and New York channels its creation through Brunson and Towns, Anunoby can play a full shift without accumulating assists. Defensive foul trouble would further cut his opportunities.
Settlement Rule: CASHES OG ANUNOBY FULL GAME ASSISTS OVER 1.5 WITH AT LEAST TWO ASSISTS; PUSH IMPOSSIBLE ON THE HALF.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across New York Knicks's 5 primary contributors.
| New York Knicks Contributor | Oct 30 @ PHI | Nov 2 vs BKN | Nov 4 vs CHI | Nov 7 @ CLE | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson NYK · Points | 26.5 | 23.5 | 25.5 | 26.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns NYK · Points | 19.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 19.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| OG Anunoby NYK · Points | 16.5 | 16.5 | 17.5 | 16.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Mikal Bridges NYK · Points | 9.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Josh Hart NYK · Points | 10.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | — | 0.0 | Flat → |
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled OG Anunoby prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | PHI @ NYK | Assists | Over 1.5 (-130) · FanDuel | 1.5 | 0 | Tied | Read Write-Up → |
Anunoby’s established secondary passing contribution and perimeter shooting threat provide a credible route to two assists without a major usage increase.
Counter-Case: Open catch-and-shoot looks can end Anunoby’s touches before he passes. If Philadelphia stays attached to the perimeter and New York channels its creation through Brunson and Towns, Anunoby can play a full shift without accumulating assists. Defensive foul trouble would further cut his opportunities.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |